Ashley Moody holds a clear lead in Miami-Dade County trading at 62.5% implied probability, ahead of Angie Nixon at 18%, reflecting the Republican incumbent’s strong post-primary positioning in the November 3 special election. Moody secured her nomination with nearly 80% of the GOP primary vote after her 2025 appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio, benefiting from substantial fundraising, broad party infrastructure, and alignment with statewide Republican trends. Nixon’s August upset victory over Alex Vindman highlighted progressive priorities such as housing costs and wages that resonate in the diverse urban county, yet her lower profile and limited resources have not closed the gap in trader assessments. Recent polling averages showing Moody ahead statewide by roughly 10 points, combined with Miami-Dade’s shifting partisan patterns in prior cycles, underpin the current consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВыборы в Сенат Флориды: победитель округа Майами-Дейд
Выборы в Сенат Флориды: победитель округа Майами-Дейд
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Ashley Moody (R)
63%
Angie Nixon (D)
19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Ashley Moody (R)
$313 Объем
63%
Angie Nixon (D)
$392 Объем
19%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Miami-Dade County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.Ashley Moody holds a clear lead in Miami-Dade County trading at 62.5% implied probability, ahead of Angie Nixon at 18%, reflecting the Republican incumbent’s strong post-primary positioning in the November 3 special election. Moody secured her nomination with nearly 80% of the GOP primary vote after her 2025 appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio, benefiting from substantial fundraising, broad party infrastructure, and alignment with statewide Republican trends. Nixon’s August upset victory over Alex Vindman highlighted progressive priorities such as housing costs and wages that resonate in the diverse urban county, yet her lower profile and limited resources have not closed the gap in trader assessments. Recent polling averages showing Moody ahead statewide by roughly 10 points, combined with Miami-Dade’s shifting partisan patterns in prior cycles, underpin the current consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Miami-Dade County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:41 PM ET
Объем
$705Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:41 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Miami-Dade County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.Ashley Moody holds a clear lead in Miami-Dade County trading at 62.5% implied probability, ahead of Angie Nixon at 18%, reflecting the Republican incumbent’s strong post-primary positioning in the November 3 special election. Moody secured her nomination with nearly 80% of the GOP primary vote after her 2025 appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio, benefiting from substantial fundraising, broad party infrastructure, and alignment with statewide Republican trends. Nixon’s August upset victory over Alex Vindman highlighted progressive priorities such as housing costs and wages that resonate in the diverse urban county, yet her lower profile and limited resources have not closed the gap in trader assessments. Recent polling averages showing Moody ahead statewide by roughly 10 points, combined with Miami-Dade’s shifting partisan patterns in prior cycles, underpin the current consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Miami-Dade County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.
Объем
$705Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:41 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Ashley Moody holds a clear lead in Miami-Dade County trading at 62.5% implied probability, ahead of Angie Nixon at 18%, reflecting the Republican incumbent’s strong post-primary positioning in the November 3 special election. Moody secured her nomination with nearly 80% of the GOP primary vote after her 2025 appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio, benefiting from substantial fundraising, broad party infrastructure, and alignment with statewide Republican trends. Nixon’s August upset victory over Alex Vindman highlighted progressive priorities such as housing costs and wages that resonate in the diverse urban county, yet her lower profile and limited resources have not closed the gap in trader assessments. Recent polling averages showing Moody ahead statewide by roughly 10 points, combined with Miami-Dade’s shifting partisan patterns in prior cycles, underpin the current consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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