Florida’s structural Republican advantage, including a voter registration edge exceeding one million and no Democratic gubernatorial victory since 1994, anchors trader consensus favoring Byron Donalds at 81.5 percent. Donalds secured the GOP nomination after the August 18 primary with endorsements from both Donald Trump and term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis, plus a substantial fundraising lead. David Jolly, the Democratic nominee and former Republican congressman, has narrowed gaps in recent surveys, with one early September poll showing him ahead 47 percent to 44 percent among likely voters. Markets price the race as less competitive than those polls suggest, reflecting Florida’s consistent Republican performance in recent statewide contests and the candidates’ respective paths to victory heading into the November 3 election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Флориды
Победитель выборов губернатора Флориды
$62,289 Объем
$62,289 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Байрон Дональдс (Р)
82%
Дэвид Джолли (Д)
19%
$62,289 Объем
$62,289 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Байрон Дональдс (Р)
$29,059 Объем
82%
Дэвид Джолли (Д)
$33,230 Объем
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida’s structural Republican advantage, including a voter registration edge exceeding one million and no Democratic gubernatorial victory since 1994, anchors trader consensus favoring Byron Donalds at 81.5 percent. Donalds secured the GOP nomination after the August 18 primary with endorsements from both Donald Trump and term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis, plus a substantial fundraising lead. David Jolly, the Democratic nominee and former Republican congressman, has narrowed gaps in recent surveys, with one early September poll showing him ahead 47 percent to 44 percent among likely voters. Markets price the race as less competitive than those polls suggest, reflecting Florida’s consistent Republican performance in recent statewide contests and the candidates’ respective paths to victory heading into the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Объем
$62,289Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida’s structural Republican advantage, including a voter registration edge exceeding one million and no Democratic gubernatorial victory since 1994, anchors trader consensus favoring Byron Donalds at 81.5 percent. Donalds secured the GOP nomination after the August 18 primary with endorsements from both Donald Trump and term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis, plus a substantial fundraising lead. David Jolly, the Democratic nominee and former Republican congressman, has narrowed gaps in recent surveys, with one early September poll showing him ahead 47 percent to 44 percent among likely voters. Markets price the race as less competitive than those polls suggest, reflecting Florida’s consistent Republican performance in recent statewide contests and the candidates’ respective paths to victory heading into the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$62,289Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Florida’s structural Republican advantage, including a voter registration edge exceeding one million and no Democratic gubernatorial victory since 1994, anchors trader consensus favoring Byron Donalds at 81.5 percent. Donalds secured the GOP nomination after the August 18 primary with endorsements from both Donald Trump and term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis, plus a substantial fundraising lead. David Jolly, the Democratic nominee and former Republican congressman, has narrowed gaps in recent surveys, with one early September poll showing him ahead 47 percent to 44 percent among likely voters. Markets price the race as less competitive than those polls suggest, reflecting Florida’s consistent Republican performance in recent statewide contests and the candidates’ respective paths to victory heading into the November 3 election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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