María Elvira Salazar’s position as the Republican incumbent in Florida’s 27th Congressional District underpins the strong trader consensus favoring her reelection, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean and her prior 20-point margin in 2024. Both candidates cleared their August 18 primaries, with Salazar defeating her challenger by a wide margin and Eliott Rodriguez securing the Democratic nomination in a closer contest. Salazar maintains a substantial fundraising edge, holding over $2 million in cash on hand compared with Rodriguez’s roughly $325,000 as of late July. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, and a recent endorsement from the South Florida Council of Firefighters highlights Salazar’s institutional support ahead of the November 3 general election. These factors, combined with the district’s demographic profile and historical voting patterns, shape the current implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-27
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-27
$24,970 Объем
$24,970 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Мария Эльвира Салазар (Р)
82%
Элиотт Родригес (Д)
17%
$24,970 Объем
$24,970 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Мария Эльвира Салазар (Р)
$13,097 Объем
82%
Элиотт Родригес (Д)
$11,872 Объем
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).María Elvira Salazar’s position as the Republican incumbent in Florida’s 27th Congressional District underpins the strong trader consensus favoring her reelection, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean and her prior 20-point margin in 2024. Both candidates cleared their August 18 primaries, with Salazar defeating her challenger by a wide margin and Eliott Rodriguez securing the Democratic nomination in a closer contest. Salazar maintains a substantial fundraising edge, holding over $2 million in cash on hand compared with Rodriguez’s roughly $325,000 as of late July. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, and a recent endorsement from the South Florida Council of Firefighters highlights Salazar’s institutional support ahead of the November 3 general election. These factors, combined with the district’s demographic profile and historical voting patterns, shape the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Объем
$24,970Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).María Elvira Salazar’s position as the Republican incumbent in Florida’s 27th Congressional District underpins the strong trader consensus favoring her reelection, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean and her prior 20-point margin in 2024. Both candidates cleared their August 18 primaries, with Salazar defeating her challenger by a wide margin and Eliott Rodriguez securing the Democratic nomination in a closer contest. Salazar maintains a substantial fundraising edge, holding over $2 million in cash on hand compared with Rodriguez’s roughly $325,000 as of late July. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, and a recent endorsement from the South Florida Council of Firefighters highlights Salazar’s institutional support ahead of the November 3 general election. These factors, combined with the district’s demographic profile and historical voting patterns, shape the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$24,970Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...María Elvira Salazar’s position as the Republican incumbent in Florida’s 27th Congressional District underpins the strong trader consensus favoring her reelection, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean and her prior 20-point margin in 2024. Both candidates cleared their August 18 primaries, with Salazar defeating her challenger by a wide margin and Eliott Rodriguez securing the Democratic nomination in a closer contest. Salazar maintains a substantial fundraising edge, holding over $2 million in cash on hand compared with Rodriguez’s roughly $325,000 as of late July. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, and a recent endorsement from the South Florida Council of Firefighters highlights Salazar’s institutional support ahead of the November 3 general election. These factors, combined with the district’s demographic profile and historical voting patterns, shape the current implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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