Incumbent Mario Díaz-Balart holds a commanding position in Florida’s 26th congressional district due to his established record, strong fundraising edge exceeding $2 million compared to challenger Nicole Locklin’s roughly $350,000, and the district’s Republican lean following Florida’s mid-decade redistricting. Both candidates advanced unopposed after August primaries were canceled, and independent forecasters rate the race as Solid or Likely Republican. Recent presidential results and the district’s partisan voter index further support the trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unusually high Democratic turnout, late national political developments, or unforeseen campaign events before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-26
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-26
$64,900 Объем
$64,900 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Марио Диас-Баларт (Р)
91%
Николь Локлин (Д)
7%
$64,900 Объем
$64,900 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Марио Диас-Баларт (Р)
$30,122 Объем
91%
Николь Локлин (Д)
$34,778 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Mario Díaz-Balart holds a commanding position in Florida’s 26th congressional district due to his established record, strong fundraising edge exceeding $2 million compared to challenger Nicole Locklin’s roughly $350,000, and the district’s Republican lean following Florida’s mid-decade redistricting. Both candidates advanced unopposed after August primaries were canceled, and independent forecasters rate the race as Solid or Likely Republican. Recent presidential results and the district’s partisan voter index further support the trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unusually high Democratic turnout, late national political developments, or unforeseen campaign events before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Объем
$64,900Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Mario Díaz-Balart holds a commanding position in Florida’s 26th congressional district due to his established record, strong fundraising edge exceeding $2 million compared to challenger Nicole Locklin’s roughly $350,000, and the district’s Republican lean following Florida’s mid-decade redistricting. Both candidates advanced unopposed after August primaries were canceled, and independent forecasters rate the race as Solid or Likely Republican. Recent presidential results and the district’s partisan voter index further support the trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unusually high Democratic turnout, late national political developments, or unforeseen campaign events before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$64,900Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Mario Díaz-Balart holds a commanding position in Florida’s 26th congressional district due to his established record, strong fundraising edge exceeding $2 million compared to challenger Nicole Locklin’s roughly $350,000, and the district’s Republican lean following Florida’s mid-decade redistricting. Both candidates advanced unopposed after August primaries were canceled, and independent forecasters rate the race as Solid or Likely Republican. Recent presidential results and the district’s partisan voter index further support the trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unusually high Democratic turnout, late national political developments, or unforeseen campaign events before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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