**In Georgia’s 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with an R+15 partisan voting index, incumbent Brian Jack faces Democrat Maura Keller in the November 3, 2026 general election.** Jack advanced unopposed in the May Republican primary, while Keller secured the Democratic nomination with roughly 61% against her primary opponent. Historical results in the district, including Jack’s 66% share in 2024, combined with the absence of a competitive Republican primary and limited Democratic infrastructure, support trader expectations that the Republican nominee will clear a majority on the first ballot. Georgia’s runoff rules trigger only if no candidate exceeds 50%, and current assessments of turnout patterns, candidate quality, and district lean produce a trader consensus of roughly 64% probability for an outright November winner. No major late developments have altered the structural dynamics ahead of the general.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-03?
Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-03?
Да
0% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 мар. 2027 г.
Да
0% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 мар. 2027 г.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-03 House election.**In Georgia’s 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with an R+15 partisan voting index, incumbent Brian Jack faces Democrat Maura Keller in the November 3, 2026 general election.** Jack advanced unopposed in the May Republican primary, while Keller secured the Democratic nomination with roughly 61% against her primary opponent. Historical results in the district, including Jack’s 66% share in 2024, combined with the absence of a competitive Republican primary and limited Democratic infrastructure, support trader expectations that the Republican nominee will clear a majority on the first ballot. Georgia’s runoff rules trigger only if no candidate exceeds 50%, and current assessments of turnout patterns, candidate quality, and district lean produce a trader consensus of roughly 64% probability for an outright November winner. No major late developments have altered the structural dynamics ahead of the general.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-03 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-03 House election.
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ET
Объем
$172Дата окончания
1 апр. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-03 House election.**In Georgia’s 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with an R+15 partisan voting index, incumbent Brian Jack faces Democrat Maura Keller in the November 3, 2026 general election.** Jack advanced unopposed in the May Republican primary, while Keller secured the Democratic nomination with roughly 61% against her primary opponent. Historical results in the district, including Jack’s 66% share in 2024, combined with the absence of a competitive Republican primary and limited Democratic infrastructure, support trader expectations that the Republican nominee will clear a majority on the first ballot. Georgia’s runoff rules trigger only if no candidate exceeds 50%, and current assessments of turnout patterns, candidate quality, and district lean produce a trader consensus of roughly 64% probability for an outright November winner. No major late developments have altered the structural dynamics ahead of the general.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-03 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-03 House election.
Объем
$172Дата окончания
1 апр. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...**In Georgia’s 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with an R+15 partisan voting index, incumbent Brian Jack faces Democrat Maura Keller in the November 3, 2026 general election.** Jack advanced unopposed in the May Republican primary, while Keller secured the Democratic nomination with roughly 61% against her primary opponent. Historical results in the district, including Jack’s 66% share in 2024, combined with the absence of a competitive Republican primary and limited Democratic infrastructure, support trader expectations that the Republican nominee will clear a majority on the first ballot. Georgia’s runoff rules trigger only if no candidate exceeds 50%, and current assessments of turnout patterns, candidate quality, and district lean produce a trader consensus of roughly 64% probability for an outright November winner. No major late developments have altered the structural dynamics ahead of the general.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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