Rob Sand holds an 83% implied probability in the Iowa governor market due to his consistent lead in recent polling averages of 4–7 points, superior fundraising exceeding $28 million compared to Zach Lahn’s roughly $7.5 million, and far higher campaign event volume across Iowa counties. The open-seat contest following Republican Gov. Kim Reynolds’ decision not to seek a third term has enabled Sand, the state’s only Democratic statewide officeholder and former auditor, to build broad appeal with a focus on accountability and bipartisan outreach. Lahn, who secured the Republican nomination in a June primary upset over the Trump-endorsed candidate, trails in every major survey released through mid-September, including a Marist poll showing Sand ahead 54%–42%. Forecasters rate the November 3 race as Lean or Tilt Democratic.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Айовы
Победитель выборов губернатора Айовы
$95,031 Объем
$95,031 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Роб Сэнд (Д)
83%
Зак Лан (Р)
17%
$95,031 Объем
$95,031 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Роб Сэнд (Д)
$43,331 Объем
83%
Зак Лан (Р)
$51,701 Объем
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Rob Sand holds an 83% implied probability in the Iowa governor market due to his consistent lead in recent polling averages of 4–7 points, superior fundraising exceeding $28 million compared to Zach Lahn’s roughly $7.5 million, and far higher campaign event volume across Iowa counties. The open-seat contest following Republican Gov. Kim Reynolds’ decision not to seek a third term has enabled Sand, the state’s only Democratic statewide officeholder and former auditor, to build broad appeal with a focus on accountability and bipartisan outreach. Lahn, who secured the Republican nomination in a June primary upset over the Trump-endorsed candidate, trails in every major survey released through mid-September, including a Marist poll showing Sand ahead 54%–42%. Forecasters rate the November 3 race as Lean or Tilt Democratic.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Объем
$95,031Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Rob Sand holds an 83% implied probability in the Iowa governor market due to his consistent lead in recent polling averages of 4–7 points, superior fundraising exceeding $28 million compared to Zach Lahn’s roughly $7.5 million, and far higher campaign event volume across Iowa counties. The open-seat contest following Republican Gov. Kim Reynolds’ decision not to seek a third term has enabled Sand, the state’s only Democratic statewide officeholder and former auditor, to build broad appeal with a focus on accountability and bipartisan outreach. Lahn, who secured the Republican nomination in a June primary upset over the Trump-endorsed candidate, trails in every major survey released through mid-September, including a Marist poll showing Sand ahead 54%–42%. Forecasters rate the November 3 race as Lean or Tilt Democratic.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$95,031Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2f5e3684c...Rob Sand holds an 83% implied probability in the Iowa governor market due to his consistent lead in recent polling averages of 4–7 points, superior fundraising exceeding $28 million compared to Zach Lahn’s roughly $7.5 million, and far higher campaign event volume across Iowa counties. The open-seat contest following Republican Gov. Kim Reynolds’ decision not to seek a third term has enabled Sand, the state’s only Democratic statewide officeholder and former auditor, to build broad appeal with a focus on accountability and bipartisan outreach. Lahn, who secured the Republican nomination in a June primary upset over the Trump-endorsed candidate, trails in every major survey released through mid-September, including a Marist poll showing Sand ahead 54%–42%. Forecasters rate the November 3 race as Lean or Tilt Democratic.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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