**Incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop faces Republican Matt Day and Communist Party candidate Brandon Daley in Georgia’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026.** The district’s D+4 partisan lean, Bishop’s consistent majorities (including 56.3% in 2024), and unopposed major-party primaries have produced broad trader consensus that one candidate—almost certainly the incumbent—will exceed 50% and avoid Georgia’s December 1 runoff. Race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ uniformly classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican resources and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle developments capable of narrowing the margin below majority levels. The 92.4% implied probability for an outright first-round winner aligns with this structural and historical positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-02?
Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-02?
Да
93% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 мар. 2027 г.
Да
93% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 мар. 2027 г.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.**Incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop faces Republican Matt Day and Communist Party candidate Brandon Daley in Georgia’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026.**
The district’s D+4 partisan lean, Bishop’s consistent majorities (including 56.3% in 2024), and unopposed major-party primaries have produced broad trader consensus that one candidate—almost certainly the incumbent—will exceed 50% and avoid Georgia’s December 1 runoff. Race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ uniformly classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican resources and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle developments capable of narrowing the margin below majority levels. The 92.4% implied probability for an outright first-round winner aligns with this structural and historical positioning.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ET
Объем
$352Дата окончания
1 апр. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.**Incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop faces Republican Matt Day and Communist Party candidate Brandon Daley in Georgia’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026.**
The district’s D+4 partisan lean, Bishop’s consistent majorities (including 56.3% in 2024), and unopposed major-party primaries have produced broad trader consensus that one candidate—almost certainly the incumbent—will exceed 50% and avoid Georgia’s December 1 runoff. Race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ uniformly classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican resources and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle developments capable of narrowing the margin below majority levels. The 92.4% implied probability for an outright first-round winner aligns with this structural and historical positioning.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.
Объем
$352Дата окончания
1 апр. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...**Incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop faces Republican Matt Day and Communist Party candidate Brandon Daley in Georgia’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026.** The district’s D+4 partisan lean, Bishop’s consistent majorities (including 56.3% in 2024), and unopposed major-party primaries have produced broad trader consensus that one candidate—almost certainly the incumbent—will exceed 50% and avoid Georgia’s December 1 runoff. Race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ uniformly classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican resources and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle developments capable of narrowing the margin below majority levels. The 92.4% implied probability for an outright first-round winner aligns with this structural and historical positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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