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icon for Предложение по аудиту налоговых расходов в Калифорнии

Предложение по аудиту налоговых расходов в Калифорнии

icon for Предложение по аудиту налоговых расходов в Калифорнии

Предложение по аудиту налоговых расходов в Калифорнии

Да

0% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Да

0% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
Proposition 41 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would audit new tax spending and ban new taxes from being exempt from the state spending cap, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California Proposition 41, a constitutional amendment on the November 3, 2026 ballot, creates a closely balanced market at 50.5% Yes because it directly counters companion wealth-tax measures while imposing new procedural requirements on special taxes. The initiative mandates pre-election audits by the state auditor for voter-initiated special taxes once 25% of signatures are collected, plus recurring four-year reviews of programs funded by taxes enacted after January 1, 2026, and bars those revenues from exclusion under the existing Gann spending limit. Trader sentiment reflects competing pressures: support from taxpayer groups and business interests focused on program efficiency, cost savings, and spending-cap integrity versus opposition from advocates of dedicated revenue streams who cite added administrative hurdles and potential constraints on future ballot initiatives. No decisive polling shifts or major endorsements have altered the equilibrium in recent weeks.

Proposition 41 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would audit new tax spending and ban new taxes from being exempt from the state spending cap, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Proposition 41 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would audit new tax spending and ban new taxes from being exempt from the state spending cap, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Объем
$1,079
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...
Proposition 41 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would audit new tax spending and ban new taxes from being exempt from the state spending cap, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California Proposition 41, a constitutional amendment on the November 3, 2026 ballot, creates a closely balanced market at 50.5% Yes because it directly counters companion wealth-tax measures while imposing new procedural requirements on special taxes. The initiative mandates pre-election audits by the state auditor for voter-initiated special taxes once 25% of signatures are collected, plus recurring four-year reviews of programs funded by taxes enacted after January 1, 2026, and bars those revenues from exclusion under the existing Gann spending limit. Trader sentiment reflects competing pressures: support from taxpayer groups and business interests focused on program efficiency, cost savings, and spending-cap integrity versus opposition from advocates of dedicated revenue streams who cite added administrative hurdles and potential constraints on future ballot initiatives. No decisive polling shifts or major endorsements have altered the equilibrium in recent weeks.

Proposition 41 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would audit new tax spending and ban new taxes from being exempt from the state spending cap, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Proposition 41 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would audit new tax spending and ban new taxes from being exempt from the state spending cap, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Объем
$1,079
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...

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«Предложение по аудиту налоговых расходов в Калифорнии» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Проверка расходов на налоги в Калифорнии: предложение» с 54%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 54¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 54%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Предложение по аудиту налоговых расходов в Калифорнии» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jul 1, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

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Текущий фаворит для «Предложение по аудиту налоговых расходов в Калифорнии» — «Проверка расходов на налоги в Калифорнии: предложение» с 54%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 54%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Предложение по аудиту налоговых расходов в Калифорнии» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.