Omar Aziz leads recent polling averages for the October 4 first-round vote in the Amazonas gubernatorial contest, yet the race remains competitive due to a fragmented field and large blocs of undecided voters. Roberto Cidade, installed as interim governor via indirect legislative election in May after Wilson Lima’s resignation, polls in the low 20s alongside Professora Maria do Carmo and David Almeida, each drawing distinct regional and partisan support. High rejection ratings for some contenders and the possibility of a tight runoff on October 25 sustain uncertainty, as second-round simulations frequently show margins within sampling error. Traders price Aziz as the frontrunner while assigning meaningful probability to an upset by one of the clustered challengers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоОмар Азиз 54%
Профессор Мария ду Карму 29%
Роберто Сидаде 15.7%
Гилберто Васконселос 1.0%
$25,507 Объем
$25,507 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Омар Азиз
54%
Профессор Мария ду Карму
29%
Роберто Сидаде
16%
Гилберто Васконселос
1%
Кабо Даçiоло
<1%
Давид Алмейда
<1%
Исаэль Мундуруку
<1%
Омар Азиз 54%
Профессор Мария ду Карму 29%
Роберто Сидаде 15.7%
Гилберто Васконселос 1.0%
$25,507 Объем
$25,507 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Омар Азиз
$8,877 Объем
54%
Профессор Мария ду Карму
$5,371 Объем
29%
Роберто Сидаде
$4,178 Объем
16%
Гилберто Васконселос
$1,851 Объем
1%
Кабо Даçiоло
$1,543 Объем
<1%
Давид Алмейда
$1,911 Объем
<1%
Исаэль Мундуруку
$1,776 Объем
<1%
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz leads recent polling averages for the October 4 first-round vote in the Amazonas gubernatorial contest, yet the race remains competitive due to a fragmented field and large blocs of undecided voters. Roberto Cidade, installed as interim governor via indirect legislative election in May after Wilson Lima’s resignation, polls in the low 20s alongside Professora Maria do Carmo and David Almeida, each drawing distinct regional and partisan support. High rejection ratings for some contenders and the possibility of a tight runoff on October 25 sustain uncertainty, as second-round simulations frequently show margins within sampling error. Traders price Aziz as the frontrunner while assigning meaningful probability to an upset by one of the clustered challengers.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET
Объем
$25,507Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz leads recent polling averages for the October 4 first-round vote in the Amazonas gubernatorial contest, yet the race remains competitive due to a fragmented field and large blocs of undecided voters. Roberto Cidade, installed as interim governor via indirect legislative election in May after Wilson Lima’s resignation, polls in the low 20s alongside Professora Maria do Carmo and David Almeida, each drawing distinct regional and partisan support. High rejection ratings for some contenders and the possibility of a tight runoff on October 25 sustain uncertainty, as second-round simulations frequently show margins within sampling error. Traders price Aziz as the frontrunner while assigning meaningful probability to an upset by one of the clustered challengers.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$25,507Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Omar Aziz leads recent polling averages for the October 4 first-round vote in the Amazonas gubernatorial contest, yet the race remains competitive due to a fragmented field and large blocs of undecided voters. Roberto Cidade, installed as interim governor via indirect legislative election in May after Wilson Lima’s resignation, polls in the low 20s alongside Professora Maria do Carmo and David Almeida, each drawing distinct regional and partisan support. High rejection ratings for some contenders and the possibility of a tight runoff on October 25 sustain uncertainty, as second-round simulations frequently show margins within sampling error. Traders price Aziz as the frontrunner while assigning meaningful probability to an upset by one of the clustered challengers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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