Recent polling in Amapá shows Rayssa Furlan leading the Senate race for one of two seats, leaving the contest for second place tightly matched between incumbents Randolfe Rodrigues and Lucas Barreto. A Real Time Big Data survey from early September placed Randolfe ahead of Barreto in consolidated vote intentions, with smaller shares for Alliny Serrão and others. The state's multi-vote system, where electors select up to two candidates, amplifies small shifts in second preferences and turnout among key regional blocs. With the October election weeks away, trader consensus reflects this narrow gap, as further polls, campaign alliances, or late voter consolidation could separate the contenders before ballots close.