Russian forces have sustained ground attacks and strikes near Khatnie, a village in Kharkiv Oblast east of the Oskil River, yet open-source mapping shows no confirmed capture of territory there through mid-2026. Ukrainian defenses and localized counteractions have contained incremental Russian pressure in the Velykyi Burluk sector, while Moscow directs primary resources toward Donetsk oblast objectives such as Kostiantynivka. Ukrainian long-range strikes on Russian logistics and rear areas have added friction to offensive tempo. Trader consensus prices near-term entry as low-probability, consistent with the sector's slow operational pace and Ukrainian reinforcements. Resolution hinges on ISW map shading of Russian control by each contract's deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoA Rússia entrará em Khatnie até...?
$207,275 Vol.
31 de dezembro
24%
$207,275 Vol.
31 de dezembro
24%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 24, 2026, 10:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have sustained ground attacks and strikes near Khatnie, a village in Kharkiv Oblast east of the Oskil River, yet open-source mapping shows no confirmed capture of territory there through mid-2026. Ukrainian defenses and localized counteractions have contained incremental Russian pressure in the Velykyi Burluk sector, while Moscow directs primary resources toward Donetsk oblast objectives such as Kostiantynivka. Ukrainian long-range strikes on Russian logistics and rear areas have added friction to offensive tempo. Trader consensus prices near-term entry as low-probability, consistent with the sector's slow operational pace and Ukrainian reinforcements. Resolution hinges on ISW map shading of Russian control by each contract's deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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