Blake Moore secured the Republican nomination for Utah’s 2nd Congressional District after defeating state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee in the June primary by roughly 14 points, aided by endorsements from President Trump and House Speaker Mike Johnson plus a substantial fundraising edge. The newly drawn district, encompassing northern Utah counties including Davis, Weber, and Cache, carries an R+15 partisan voter index and delivered Trump a 29-point margin in 2024. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican. Democrat Peter Crosby advanced unopposed but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have dominated recent cycles. Minor-party candidates on the November ballot are unlikely to alter the outcome. Late developments such as a major scandal or sharp national shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though none have surfaced in recent months.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$15,841 Vol.
$15,841 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Blake Moore (R)
95%
Peter Crosby (D)
5%
$15,841 Vol.
$15,841 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Blake Moore (R)
$2,462 Vol.
95%
Peter Crosby (D)
$13,379 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Blake Moore secured the Republican nomination for Utah’s 2nd Congressional District after defeating state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee in the June primary by roughly 14 points, aided by endorsements from President Trump and House Speaker Mike Johnson plus a substantial fundraising edge. The newly drawn district, encompassing northern Utah counties including Davis, Weber, and Cache, carries an R+15 partisan voter index and delivered Trump a 29-point margin in 2024. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican. Democrat Peter Crosby advanced unopposed but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have dominated recent cycles. Minor-party candidates on the November ballot are unlikely to alter the outcome. Late developments such as a major scandal or sharp national shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though none have surfaced in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volume
$15,841Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Blake Moore secured the Republican nomination for Utah’s 2nd Congressional District after defeating state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee in the June primary by roughly 14 points, aided by endorsements from President Trump and House Speaker Mike Johnson plus a substantial fundraising edge. The newly drawn district, encompassing northern Utah counties including Davis, Weber, and Cache, carries an R+15 partisan voter index and delivered Trump a 29-point margin in 2024. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican. Democrat Peter Crosby advanced unopposed but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have dominated recent cycles. Minor-party candidates on the November ballot are unlikely to alter the outcome. Late developments such as a major scandal or sharp national shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though none have surfaced in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,841Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Blake Moore secured the Republican nomination for Utah’s 2nd Congressional District after defeating state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee in the June primary by roughly 14 points, aided by endorsements from President Trump and House Speaker Mike Johnson plus a substantial fundraising edge. The newly drawn district, encompassing northern Utah counties including Davis, Weber, and Cache, carries an R+15 partisan voter index and delivered Trump a 29-point margin in 2024. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican. Democrat Peter Crosby advanced unopposed but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have dominated recent cycles. Minor-party candidates on the November ballot are unlikely to alter the outcome. Late developments such as a major scandal or sharp national shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though none have surfaced in recent months.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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