Recent model releases and agent-specific benchmarks have created a tight race for third place among AI labs, reflected in the market's closely matched odds around 50% for numerous contenders. Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 leads several agent evaluations for planning and tool use, while Moonshot’s Kimi K3 delivers near-parity at lower cost with strong long-context performance, and OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 and GPT-6 Astra variants show competitive results in multi-step workflows. Chinese labs including DeepSeek and Z.ai continue advancing open-weight agent capabilities, narrowing gaps with Western frontier systems. A recent US lawsuit alleging coordinated safety-driven slowdowns among major labs adds regulatory uncertainty ahead of the October 31 resolution based on arena.ai leaderboards.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTerceiro melhor laboratório de agentes de IA no final de outubro?
Terceiro melhor laboratório de agentes de IA no final de outubro?
Moonshot 41%
SpaceXAI 10.8%
OpenAI 8%
Google 6.8%
$24,004 Vol.
$24,004 Vol.
31 out 2026
Moonshot
41%
SpaceXAI
11%
OpenAI
8%
7%
Z.ai
6%
Microsoft
4%
Alibaba
4%
Xiaomi
5%
Anthropic
4%
DeepSeek
1%
Meta
1%
Baidu
1%
MiniMax
1%
Nvidia
1%
Amazon
1%
Mistral
1%
Meituan
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Moonshot 41%
SpaceXAI 10.8%
OpenAI 8%
Google 6.8%
$24,004 Vol.
$24,004 Vol.
31 out 2026
Moonshot
$10,352 Vol.
41%
SpaceXAI
$2,304 Vol.
11%
OpenAI
$5,965 Vol.
8%
$295 Vol.
7%
Z.ai
$454 Vol.
6%
Microsoft
$257 Vol.
4%
Alibaba
$669 Vol.
4%
Xiaomi
$262 Vol.
5%
Anthropic
$1,067 Vol.
4%
DeepSeek
$342 Vol.
1%
Meta
$234 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$229 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$229 Vol.
1%
Nvidia
$189 Vol.
1%
Amazon
$206 Vol.
1%
Mistral
$234 Vol.
1%
Meituan
$229 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$488 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent model releases and agent-specific benchmarks have created a tight race for third place among AI labs, reflected in the market's closely matched odds around 50% for numerous contenders. Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 leads several agent evaluations for planning and tool use, while Moonshot’s Kimi K3 delivers near-parity at lower cost with strong long-context performance, and OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 and GPT-6 Astra variants show competitive results in multi-step workflows. Chinese labs including DeepSeek and Z.ai continue advancing open-weight agent capabilities, narrowing gaps with Western frontier systems. A recent US lawsuit alleging coordinated safety-driven slowdowns among major labs adds regulatory uncertainty ahead of the October 31 resolution based on arena.ai leaderboards.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$24,004Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent model releases and agent-specific benchmarks have created a tight race for third place among AI labs, reflected in the market's closely matched odds around 50% for numerous contenders. Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 leads several agent evaluations for planning and tool use, while Moonshot’s Kimi K3 delivers near-parity at lower cost with strong long-context performance, and OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 and GPT-6 Astra variants show competitive results in multi-step workflows. Chinese labs including DeepSeek and Z.ai continue advancing open-weight agent capabilities, narrowing gaps with Western frontier systems. A recent US lawsuit alleging coordinated safety-driven slowdowns among major labs adds regulatory uncertainty ahead of the October 31 resolution based on arena.ai leaderboards.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$24,004Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model releases and agent-specific benchmarks have created a tight race for third place among AI labs, reflected in the market's closely matched odds around 50% for numerous contenders. Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 leads several agent evaluations for planning and tool use, while Moonshot’s Kimi K3 delivers near-parity at lower cost with strong long-context performance, and OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 and GPT-6 Astra variants show competitive results in multi-step workflows. Chinese labs including DeepSeek and Z.ai continue advancing open-weight agent capabilities, narrowing gaps with Western frontier systems. A recent US lawsuit alleging coordinated safety-driven slowdowns among major labs adds regulatory uncertainty ahead of the October 31 resolution based on arena.ai leaderboards.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions