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icon for Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?
Tecnologia·IA

Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?

icon for Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?
Tecnologia·IA

Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?

out 1

out 1

Nenhum lançamento até 30 de setembro 90%

30 de setembro 4.1%

23 de setembro 2.5%

24 de setembro 1.6%

Polymarket

$83,467 Vol.

Nenhum lançamento até 30 de setembro 90%

30 de setembro 4.1%

23 de setembro 2.5%

24 de setembro 1.6%

Polymarket

$83,467 Vol.

9 de setembro

$331 Vol.

<1%

10 de setembro

$331 Vol.

<1%

11 de setembro

$298 Vol.

1%

12 de setembro

$302 Vol.

1%

13 de setembro

$331 Vol.

1%

14 de setembro

$404 Vol.

<1%

15 de setembro

$542 Vol.

1%

16 de setembro

$538 Vol.

1%

17 de setembro

$542 Vol.

1%

18 de setembro

$305 Vol.

<1%

19 de setembro

$302 Vol.

1%

20 de setembro

$302 Vol.

1%

21 de setembro

$532 Vol.

1%

22 de setembro

$579 Vol.

1%

23 de setembro

$459 Vol.

3%

24 de setembro

$589 Vol.

2%

25 de setembro

$298 Vol.

1%

26 de setembro

$300 Vol.

1%

27 de setembro

$302 Vol.

1%

28 de setembro

$480 Vol.

1%

29 de setembro

$370 Vol.

1%

30 de setembro

$818 Vol.

4%

Nenhum lançamento até 30 de setembro

$69,279 Vol.

90%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays on the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship—teased at I/O in May 2026 with a June target that slipped past July—drive the 89.5% market-implied odds of no Pro release by September 30. The model remains in partner testing without a firm public timeline, as internal benchmarks for coding and agentic performance have not yet been met. In its place, Google has maintained momentum with rapid Flash iterations, including Gemini 3.8 Flash launched September 2, while shifting resources toward Gemini 4 pretraining. This pattern of postponed frontier releases amid steady lighter-model updates reinforces trader consensus that a Pro debut is unlikely before October.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$83,467
Data de Término
1 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays on the Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship—teased at I/O in May 2026 with a June target that slipped past July—drive the 89.5% market-implied odds of no Pro release by September 30. The model remains in partner testing without a firm public timeline, as internal benchmarks for coding and agentic performance have not yet been met. In its place, Google has maintained momentum with rapid Flash iterations, including Gemini 3.8 Flash launched September 2, while shifting resources toward Gemini 4 pretraining. This pattern of postponed frontier releases amid steady lighter-model updates reinforces trader consensus that a Pro debut is unlikely before October.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$83,467
Data de Término
1 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 31 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nenhum lançamento até 30 de setembro" at 90%, followed by "30 de setembro" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?" has generated $83.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?," browse the 31 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?" is "Nenhum lançamento até 30 de setembro" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de setembro" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.