Recent expansion of flash drought across the South-Central U.S., driven by persistent above-normal temperatures and precipitation deficits, has intensified conditions in states such as Texas, Oklahoma, and parts of the Mississippi Valley, supporting trader focus on D4 persistence or spread for the week of September 8. As of the September 1 U.S. Drought Monitor release, exceptional drought covered 1.4% of the contiguous United States amid broader D1–D4 coverage near 50%, with degradations noted in the central Plains, northern border regions, and Northeast while scattered improvements occurred in the Rockies. The weekly update, incorporating soil moisture, streamflow, and vegetation data from NOAA and USDA partners, is the key near-term catalyst, with any late-summer tropical moisture or cooler patterns potentially altering short-term trajectories before the next map.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSeca excepcional (D4) por estado — semana de 08 de setembro de 2026

Alabama
4%

Arizona
4%

Arkansas
95%

Califórnia
7%

Colorado
99%

Delaware
25%

Flórida
20%

Geórgia
25%

Idaho
96%

Illinois
4%

Indiana
5%

Iowa
25%

Kansas
5%

Kentucky
13%

Louisiana
5%

Maryland
38%

Minnesota
38%

Mississippi
63%

Missouri
38%

Montana
38%

Nebraska
63%

Nevada
77%

Nova Jersey
23%

Novo México
63%

Carolina do Norte
77%

Dakota do Norte
38%

Ohio
26%

Oklahoma
63%

Oregon
97%

Pensilvânia
24%

Carolina do Sul
26%

Dakota do Sul
38%

Tennessee
38%

Texas
63%

Utah
75%

Virgínia
7%

Washington
7%

Virgínia Ocidental
2%

Wisconsin
38%

Wyoming
38%
$2,751 Vol.

Alabama
4%

Arizona
4%

Arkansas
95%

Califórnia
7%

Colorado
99%

Delaware
25%

Flórida
20%

Geórgia
25%

Idaho
96%

Illinois
4%

Indiana
5%

Iowa
25%

Kansas
5%

Kentucky
13%

Louisiana
5%

Maryland
38%

Minnesota
38%

Mississippi
63%

Missouri
38%

Montana
38%

Nebraska
63%

Nevada
77%

Nova Jersey
23%

Novo México
63%

Carolina do Norte
77%

Dakota do Norte
38%

Ohio
26%

Oklahoma
63%

Oregon
97%

Pensilvânia
24%

Carolina do Sul
26%

Dakota do Sul
38%

Tennessee
38%

Texas
63%

Utah
75%

Virgínia
7%

Washington
7%

Virgínia Ocidental
2%

Wisconsin
38%

Wyoming
38%
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 8, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 3, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x65070BE91...D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 8, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Fonte de resolução
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent expansion of flash drought across the South-Central U.S., driven by persistent above-normal temperatures and precipitation deficits, has intensified conditions in states such as Texas, Oklahoma, and parts of the Mississippi Valley, supporting trader focus on D4 persistence or spread for the week of September 8. As of the September 1 U.S. Drought Monitor release, exceptional drought covered 1.4% of the contiguous United States amid broader D1–D4 coverage near 50%, with degradations noted in the central Plains, northern border regions, and Northeast while scattered improvements occurred in the Rockies. The weekly update, incorporating soil moisture, streamflow, and vegetation data from NOAA and USDA partners, is the key near-term catalyst, with any late-summer tropical moisture or cooler patterns potentially altering short-term trajectories before the next map.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions