The market's near-certain consensus on a 100-101°F high for Austin on September 12 stems from official meteorological observations confirming that peak temperature amid hot, humid conditions with southerly winds gusting to 20 mph. National Weather Service data and station records, including those near Camp Mabry and Bergstrom, logged a maximum of 100°F under partly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal patterns where September highs often reach the upper 90s but can spike above 100°F during periods of strong southerly flow and elevated heat indices exceeding 105°F. Model consensus from sources like the GFS supported this range without significant deviations, and the absence of cloud cover or precipitation kept surface heating efficient. Only an unexpected late-day cooling event or revised station calibration could have altered the outcome, though post-event verification has solidified the result.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 12 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 12 de setembro?
100-101°F 100.0%
91°F ou menos <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$37,562 Vol.
$37,562 Vol.
12 set 2026
91°F ou menos
Não
92-93°F
Não
94-95°F
Não
96-97°F
Não
98-99°F
Não
100-101°F
Sim
102-103°F
Não
104-105°F
Não
106-107°F
Não
108-109°F
Não
110°F ou mais
Não
100-101°F 100.0%
91°F ou menos <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$37,562 Vol.
$37,562 Vol.
12 set 2026
91°F ou menos
$389 Vol.
Não
92-93°F
$438 Vol.
Não
94-95°F
$1,232 Vol.
Não
96-97°F
$1,133 Vol.
Não
98-99°F
$6,159 Vol.
Não
100-101°F
$9,556 Vol.
Sim
102-103°F
$10,379 Vol.
Não
104-105°F
$5,056 Vol.
Não
106-107°F
$2,523 Vol.
Não
108-109°F
$276 Vol.
Não
110°F ou mais
$421 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain consensus on a 100-101°F high for Austin on September 12 stems from official meteorological observations confirming that peak temperature amid hot, humid conditions with southerly winds gusting to 20 mph. National Weather Service data and station records, including those near Camp Mabry and Bergstrom, logged a maximum of 100°F under partly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal patterns where September highs often reach the upper 90s but can spike above 100°F during periods of strong southerly flow and elevated heat indices exceeding 105°F. Model consensus from sources like the GFS supported this range without significant deviations, and the absence of cloud cover or precipitation kept surface heating efficient. Only an unexpected late-day cooling event or revised station calibration could have altered the outcome, though post-event verification has solidified the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$37,562Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain consensus on a 100-101°F high for Austin on September 12 stems from official meteorological observations confirming that peak temperature amid hot, humid conditions with southerly winds gusting to 20 mph. National Weather Service data and station records, including those near Camp Mabry and Bergstrom, logged a maximum of 100°F under partly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal patterns where September highs often reach the upper 90s but can spike above 100°F during periods of strong southerly flow and elevated heat indices exceeding 105°F. Model consensus from sources like the GFS supported this range without significant deviations, and the absence of cloud cover or precipitation kept surface heating efficient. Only an unexpected late-day cooling event or revised station calibration could have altered the outcome, though post-event verification has solidified the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,562Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The market's near-certain consensus on a 100-101°F high for Austin on September 12 stems from official meteorological observations confirming that peak temperature amid hot, humid conditions with southerly winds gusting to 20 mph. National Weather Service data and station records, including those near Camp Mabry and Bergstrom, logged a maximum of 100°F under partly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal patterns where September highs often reach the upper 90s but can spike above 100°F during periods of strong southerly flow and elevated heat indices exceeding 105°F. Model consensus from sources like the GFS supported this range without significant deviations, and the absence of cloud cover or precipitation kept surface heating efficient. Only an unexpected late-day cooling event or revised station calibration could have altered the outcome, though post-event verification has solidified the result.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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