Recent cold air intrusion and widespread rainfall have sharply cooled Chengdu, with official forecasts converging on a daily high of 21–23°C amid persistent cloud cover, northerly winds, and steady precipitation that limits solar heating. Model consensus from regional meteorological centers highlights suppressed daytime maxima due to high humidity, reduced insolation, and ongoing showers through the afternoon, aligning closely with market-implied probabilities favoring 22°C. Minor variations hinge on exact rain timing and any brief clearing, though climatological September baselines suggest such rapid drops are typical during early-autumn frontal passages. Updated model runs and local observations remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chengdu no dia 10 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Chengdu no dia 10 de setembro?
22°C 43%
23°C 27%
21°C 20%
20°C 7%
NOVO
$13,410 Vol.
NOVO
$13,410 Vol.
10 set 2026
18°C ou menos
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
7%
21°C
20%
22°C
43%
23°C
27%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou mais
<1%
22°C 43%
23°C 27%
21°C 20%
20°C 7%
NOVO
$13,410 Vol.
NOVO
$13,410 Vol.
10 set 2026
18°C ou menos
$375 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,199 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,432 Vol.
7%
21°C
$1,818 Vol.
20%
22°C
$2,089 Vol.
43%
23°C
$1,071 Vol.
27%
24°C
$1,553 Vol.
3%
25°C
$915 Vol.
2%
26°C
$471 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,274 Vol.
<1%
28°C ou mais
$1,212 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air intrusion and widespread rainfall have sharply cooled Chengdu, with official forecasts converging on a daily high of 21–23°C amid persistent cloud cover, northerly winds, and steady precipitation that limits solar heating. Model consensus from regional meteorological centers highlights suppressed daytime maxima due to high humidity, reduced insolation, and ongoing showers through the afternoon, aligning closely with market-implied probabilities favoring 22°C. Minor variations hinge on exact rain timing and any brief clearing, though climatological September baselines suggest such rapid drops are typical during early-autumn frontal passages. Updated model runs and local observations remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$13,410Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air intrusion and widespread rainfall have sharply cooled Chengdu, with official forecasts converging on a daily high of 21–23°C amid persistent cloud cover, northerly winds, and steady precipitation that limits solar heating. Model consensus from regional meteorological centers highlights suppressed daytime maxima due to high humidity, reduced insolation, and ongoing showers through the afternoon, aligning closely with market-implied probabilities favoring 22°C. Minor variations hinge on exact rain timing and any brief clearing, though climatological September baselines suggest such rapid drops are typical during early-autumn frontal passages. Updated model runs and local observations remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,410Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold air intrusion and widespread rainfall have sharply cooled Chengdu, with official forecasts converging on a daily high of 21–23°C amid persistent cloud cover, northerly winds, and steady precipitation that limits solar heating. Model consensus from regional meteorological centers highlights suppressed daytime maxima due to high humidity, reduced insolation, and ongoing showers through the afternoon, aligning closely with market-implied probabilities favoring 22°C. Minor variations hinge on exact rain timing and any brief clearing, though climatological September baselines suggest such rapid drops are typical during early-autumn frontal passages. Updated model runs and local observations remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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