**Trader consensus heavily favors a 30°C daily high in Beijing on September 10, reflecting real-time meteorological consensus.** Multiple forecast models and official guidance indicate sunny to mostly clear skies with light northwest to southwest winds, supporting a peak near 29–30°C (84–86°F) under dry conditions with low humidity around 30–40%. This aligns with current observations showing afternoon readings climbing to 28–30°C. The outcome sits modestly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 27.4°C but well below historical extremes exceeding 32°C. Limited model spread and stable atmospheric patterns reduce the chance of significant revision before final readings, though minor adjustments from localized cloud development or sensor placement could still shift the exact recorded maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 10 de setembro?
31°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
24°C ou menos <1%
25°C <1%
$79,343 Vol.
$79,343 Vol.
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou mais
<1%
31°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
24°C ou menos <1%
25°C <1%
$79,343 Vol.
$79,343 Vol.
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 30°C daily high in Beijing on September 10, reflecting real-time meteorological consensus.** Multiple forecast models and official guidance indicate sunny to mostly clear skies with light northwest to southwest winds, supporting a peak near 29–30°C (84–86°F) under dry conditions with low humidity around 30–40%. This aligns with current observations showing afternoon readings climbing to 28–30°C. The outcome sits modestly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 27.4°C but well below historical extremes exceeding 32°C. Limited model spread and stable atmospheric patterns reduce the chance of significant revision before final readings, though minor adjustments from localized cloud development or sensor placement could still shift the exact recorded maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions