**Traders have converged on 33°C as the near-certain daily maximum for Shenzhen on September 10, 2026, reflecting verified station observations peaking near this threshold amid partly cloudy skies and modest afternoon heating.** Official meteorological data show a midday high reaching approximately 31.7–32°C under light northeasterly winds and humidity around 50–60%, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions where reduced cloud cover and weak steering patterns allow peak insolation. Model consensus from regional forecasts supported this range without significant cooling from precipitation or stronger onshore flow. The 100% market-implied probability aligns with real-time measurements leaving little room for deviation once the full daily record closes. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-day intensification of rain or a sharp wind shift that caps the high below 33°C, though current observations make this unlikely.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 10 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 10 de setembro?
33°C 100.0%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$38,114 Vol.
$38,114 Vol.
10 set 2026
26°C ou menos
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Sim
34°C
Não
35°C
Não
36°C ou mais
Não
33°C 100.0%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$38,114 Vol.
$38,114 Vol.
10 set 2026
26°C ou menos
$699 Vol.
Não
27°C
$840 Vol.
Não
28°C
$1,396 Vol.
Não
29°C
$2,122 Vol.
Não
30°C
$7,296 Vol.
Não
31°C
$6,589 Vol.
Não
32°C
$8,287 Vol.
Não
33°C
$5,393 Vol.
Sim
34°C
$3,938 Vol.
Não
35°C
$1,348 Vol.
Não
36°C ou mais
$206 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders have converged on 33°C as the near-certain daily maximum for Shenzhen on September 10, 2026, reflecting verified station observations peaking near this threshold amid partly cloudy skies and modest afternoon heating.** Official meteorological data show a midday high reaching approximately 31.7–32°C under light northeasterly winds and humidity around 50–60%, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions where reduced cloud cover and weak steering patterns allow peak insolation. Model consensus from regional forecasts supported this range without significant cooling from precipitation or stronger onshore flow. The 100% market-implied probability aligns with real-time measurements leaving little room for deviation once the full daily record closes. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-day intensification of rain or a sharp wind shift that caps the high below 33°C, though current observations make this unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$38,114Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders have converged on 33°C as the near-certain daily maximum for Shenzhen on September 10, 2026, reflecting verified station observations peaking near this threshold amid partly cloudy skies and modest afternoon heating.** Official meteorological data show a midday high reaching approximately 31.7–32°C under light northeasterly winds and humidity around 50–60%, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions where reduced cloud cover and weak steering patterns allow peak insolation. Model consensus from regional forecasts supported this range without significant cooling from precipitation or stronger onshore flow. The 100% market-implied probability aligns with real-time measurements leaving little room for deviation once the full daily record closes. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-day intensification of rain or a sharp wind shift that caps the high below 33°C, though current observations make this unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38,114Data de Término
10 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Traders have converged on 33°C as the near-certain daily maximum for Shenzhen on September 10, 2026, reflecting verified station observations peaking near this threshold amid partly cloudy skies and modest afternoon heating.** Official meteorological data show a midday high reaching approximately 31.7–32°C under light northeasterly winds and humidity around 50–60%, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions where reduced cloud cover and weak steering patterns allow peak insolation. Model consensus from regional forecasts supported this range without significant cooling from precipitation or stronger onshore flow. The 100% market-implied probability aligns with real-time measurements leaving little room for deviation once the full daily record closes. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-day intensification of rain or a sharp wind shift that caps the high below 33°C, though current observations make this unlikely.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions