Skip to main content

Para negociar nos EUA, acesse polymarket.us

icon for Sonora Governor Election Winner
Política·México

Sonora Governor Election Winner

icon for Sonora Governor Election Winner
Política·México

Sonora Governor Election Winner

Lorenia Valles Sampedro 43%

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 38.1%

Javier Lamarque Cano 8%

Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez 4.7%

Polymarket

$34,625 Vol.

Lorenia Valles Sampedro 43%

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 38.1%

Javier Lamarque Cano 8%

Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez 4.7%

Polymarket

$34,625 Vol.

icon for Lorenia Valles Sampedro

Lorenia Valles Sampedro

$24,671 Vol.

43%

icon for Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas

$939 Vol.

38%

icon for Javier Lamarque Cano

Javier Lamarque Cano

$3,320 Vol.

8%

icon for Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez

Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez

$323 Vol.

5%

icon for Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez

Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez

$910 Vol.

4%

icon for Ernesto Gándara Camou

Ernesto Gándara Camou

$554 Vol.

4%

icon for Natalia Rivera Grijalva

Natalia Rivera Grijalva

$302 Vol.

4%

icon for Manuel Scott Sánchez

Manuel Scott Sánchez

$293 Vol.

2%

icon for Lilly Téllez García

Lilly Téllez García

$316 Vol.

2%

icon for Froylán Gámez Gamboa

Froylán Gámez Gamboa

$267 Vol.

2%

icon for Heriberto Aguilar Castillo

Heriberto Aguilar Castillo

$301 Vol.

1%

icon for María Dolores del Río Sánchez

María Dolores del Río Sánchez

$284 Vol.

1%

icon for Víctor Hugo Celaya

Víctor Hugo Celaya

$289 Vol.

1%

icon for Guadalupe María Soto

Guadalupe María Soto

$313 Vol.

1%

icon for Rogelio Díaz Brown

Rogelio Díaz Brown

$277 Vol.

1%

icon for Omar del Valle Colosio

Omar del Valle Colosio

$335 Vol.

1%

icon for Damián Zepeda Vidales

Damián Zepeda Vidales

$267 Vol.

<1%

icon for Patricia Mercado Castro

Patricia Mercado Castro

$374 Vol.

<1%

icon for Célida Teresa López Cárdenas

Célida Teresa López Cárdenas

$287 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Morena maintains a structural lead in Sonora party identification and general election intention ahead of the June 2027 gubernatorial vote, with recent June–August 2026 surveys showing the ruling alliance 15–25 points ahead of PAN and other opposition forces. Within Morena, Lorenia Valles Sampedro and Javier Lamarque Cano remain the closest internal contenders, while Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas leads Movimiento Ciudadano preference and Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez tops PAN polling. These patterns explain the tight trader consensus between Valles and Colosio as the primary general-election matchup, with lower odds for other declared or potential aspirants. The race stays competitive because the Morena nomination process is unresolved, opposition parties remain fragmented, and undecided voters exceed 10–20% in most measurements. Scheduled internal selections and further polling releases through late 2026 could shift positioning before formal campaigning begins.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$34,625
Data de Término
6 jun 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 6:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Morena maintains a structural lead in Sonora party identification and general election intention ahead of the June 2027 gubernatorial vote, with recent June–August 2026 surveys showing the ruling alliance 15–25 points ahead of PAN and other opposition forces. Within Morena, Lorenia Valles Sampedro and Javier Lamarque Cano remain the closest internal contenders, while Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas leads Movimiento Ciudadano preference and Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez tops PAN polling. These patterns explain the tight trader consensus between Valles and Colosio as the primary general-election matchup, with lower odds for other declared or potential aspirants. The race stays competitive because the Morena nomination process is unresolved, opposition parties remain fragmented, and undecided voters exceed 10–20% in most measurements. Scheduled internal selections and further polling releases through late 2026 could shift positioning before formal campaigning begins.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$34,625
Data de Término
6 jun 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 6:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Relacionado

icon for Marco Bonilla Mendoza vencerá a eleição para governador de Chihuahua em 2027?

Marco Bonilla Mendoza vencerá a eleição para governador de Chihuahua em 2027?

48%
Sim
icon for Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?

Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?

87%
icon for Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?

Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?

37%

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Sonora Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 19 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lorenia Valles Sampedro" at 43%, followed by "Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Sonora Governor Election Winner" has generated $34.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Sonora Governor Election Winner," browse the 19 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Sonora Governor Election Winner" is "Lorenia Valles Sampedro" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Sonora Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.