Marco Bonilla Mendoza leads Chihuahua's 2027 gubernatorial betting at 39% amid a competitive field where Morena-aligned contenders Cruz Pérez Cuéllar (23.5%) and Andrea Chávez Treviño (21%) trail, reflecting trader views on nomination outcomes and general-election matchups. Polling shows PAN and Morena in a narrow contest statewide, with Bonilla consolidating support as the likely PAN nominee through strong local approval as Chihuahua capital mayor and emphasis on security and economic metrics. Morena's internal race remains fluid after June 2026 candidate registrations, with Pérez Cuéllar gaining in recent surveys on reputation and Juárez record while Chávez draws from her Senate profile. The tight pricing stems from uncertain party identification trends, potential coalition dynamics, and limited separation in head-to-head scenarios. Nomination resolutions or fresh statewide surveys could shift probabilities before the June 2027 vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMarco Bonilla Mendoza 39%
Cruz Pérez Cuéllar 25%
Andrea Chávez Treviño 21%
Julián LeBarón <1%
$16,920 Vol.
$16,920 Vol.

Marco Bonilla Mendoza
39%

Cruz Pérez Cuéllar
25%

Andrea Chávez Treviño
21%

Julián LeBarón
1%

Martín Chaparro Payán
1%

Luis Carlos Arrieta Lavenant
<1%

Daniela Álvarez Hernández
<1%

Mario Vázquez Robles
<1%

Jesús Valenciano García
<1%

Gilberto Loya Chávez
<1%

Santiago de la Peña Grajeda
<1%

Alejandro Domínguez Domínguez
<1%

Graciela Ortiz González
<1%

Alfredo Lozoya Santillán
<1%

Francisco Sánchez Villegas
<1%

Rosana Díaz Reyes
<1%
Marco Bonilla Mendoza 39%
Cruz Pérez Cuéllar 25%
Andrea Chávez Treviño 21%
Julián LeBarón <1%
$16,920 Vol.
$16,920 Vol.

Marco Bonilla Mendoza
39%

Cruz Pérez Cuéllar
25%

Andrea Chávez Treviño
21%

Julián LeBarón
1%

Martín Chaparro Payán
1%

Luis Carlos Arrieta Lavenant
<1%

Daniela Álvarez Hernández
<1%

Mario Vázquez Robles
<1%

Jesús Valenciano García
<1%

Gilberto Loya Chávez
<1%

Santiago de la Peña Grajeda
<1%

Alejandro Domínguez Domínguez
<1%

Graciela Ortiz González
<1%

Alfredo Lozoya Santillán
<1%

Francisco Sánchez Villegas
<1%

Rosana Díaz Reyes
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 7:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Marco Bonilla Mendoza leads Chihuahua's 2027 gubernatorial betting at 39% amid a competitive field where Morena-aligned contenders Cruz Pérez Cuéllar (23.5%) and Andrea Chávez Treviño (21%) trail, reflecting trader views on nomination outcomes and general-election matchups. Polling shows PAN and Morena in a narrow contest statewide, with Bonilla consolidating support as the likely PAN nominee through strong local approval as Chihuahua capital mayor and emphasis on security and economic metrics. Morena's internal race remains fluid after June 2026 candidate registrations, with Pérez Cuéllar gaining in recent surveys on reputation and Juárez record while Chávez draws from her Senate profile. The tight pricing stems from uncertain party identification trends, potential coalition dynamics, and limited separation in head-to-head scenarios. Nomination resolutions or fresh statewide surveys could shift probabilities before the June 2027 vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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