Rebecca Bennett leads trader consensus in the NJ-07 House race at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting the impact of incumbent Thomas Kean Jr.’s extended absence from Congress between March and late June 2026 due to a depression diagnosis and hospitalization. The district, which narrowly favored Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump in 2024, has flipped in recent midterms, and Kean’s prolonged withdrawal from legislative activity and public appearances elevated the seat’s profile as a Democratic target. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot who won her June primary decisively, has maintained strong fundraising momentum and released general election ads emphasizing military service, ethics, and policy priorities such as AI regulation. Recent independent expenditure ads have also highlighted Kean’s voting record on gun policy and law enforcement funding, sustaining pressure on the Republican incumbent ahead of the November ballot.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$18,967 Vol.
$18,967 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Rebecca Bennett (D)
77%
Thomas Kean Jr. (R)
22%
$18,967 Vol.
$18,967 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Rebecca Bennett (D)
$4,164 Vol.
77%
Thomas Kean Jr. (R)
$14,803 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Bennett leads trader consensus in the NJ-07 House race at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting the impact of incumbent Thomas Kean Jr.’s extended absence from Congress between March and late June 2026 due to a depression diagnosis and hospitalization. The district, which narrowly favored Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump in 2024, has flipped in recent midterms, and Kean’s prolonged withdrawal from legislative activity and public appearances elevated the seat’s profile as a Democratic target. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot who won her June primary decisively, has maintained strong fundraising momentum and released general election ads emphasizing military service, ethics, and policy priorities such as AI regulation. Recent independent expenditure ads have also highlighted Kean’s voting record on gun policy and law enforcement funding, sustaining pressure on the Republican incumbent ahead of the November ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$18,967Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Bennett leads trader consensus in the NJ-07 House race at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting the impact of incumbent Thomas Kean Jr.’s extended absence from Congress between March and late June 2026 due to a depression diagnosis and hospitalization. The district, which narrowly favored Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump in 2024, has flipped in recent midterms, and Kean’s prolonged withdrawal from legislative activity and public appearances elevated the seat’s profile as a Democratic target. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot who won her June primary decisively, has maintained strong fundraising momentum and released general election ads emphasizing military service, ethics, and policy priorities such as AI regulation. Recent independent expenditure ads have also highlighted Kean’s voting record on gun policy and law enforcement funding, sustaining pressure on the Republican incumbent ahead of the November ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,967Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rebecca Bennett leads trader consensus in the NJ-07 House race at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting the impact of incumbent Thomas Kean Jr.’s extended absence from Congress between March and late June 2026 due to a depression diagnosis and hospitalization. The district, which narrowly favored Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump in 2024, has flipped in recent midterms, and Kean’s prolonged withdrawal from legislative activity and public appearances elevated the seat’s profile as a Democratic target. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot who won her June primary decisively, has maintained strong fundraising momentum and released general election ads emphasizing military service, ethics, and policy priorities such as AI regulation. Recent independent expenditure ads have also highlighted Kean’s voting record on gun policy and law enforcement funding, sustaining pressure on the Republican incumbent ahead of the November ballot.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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