Google’s continued delays on Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally targeted for June after its May I/O tease and later slipped into July for additional tuning on coding, agentic tasks, and internal benchmarks, remain the main factor behind traders assigning 37% odds to no Pro release by November 1. The company has instead shipped frequent Flash iterations, including Gemini 3.8 Flash on September 2, while describing the flagship Pro as partner-tested and available “as soon as it’s ready” with no firm public timeline. This pattern of holding back the frontier model while advancing lighter variants and beginning Gemini 4 pre-training has concentrated implied probability in late-September and October windows, reflecting uncertainty over whether performance shortfalls will push resolution past early November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQuando será lançado o próximo modelo do Google Gemini Pro?
Quando será lançado o próximo modelo do Google Gemini Pro?
Nenhum lançamento até 1º de novembro 36%
12 a 18 de outubro 16%
28 de setembro a 4 de outubro 13.7%
19 a 25 de outubro 6.5%
$42,746 Vol.
$42,746 Vol.
13 set 2026
7 a 13 de setembro
3%
14 a 20 de setembro
4%
21 de setembro–27 de setembro
6%
28 de setembro a 4 de outubro
14%
5 a 11 de outubro
3%
12 a 18 de outubro
16%
19 a 25 de outubro
6%
26 de outubro a 1 de novembro
3%
Nenhum lançamento até 1º de novembro
36%
Nenhum lançamento até 1º de novembro 36%
12 a 18 de outubro 16%
28 de setembro a 4 de outubro 13.7%
19 a 25 de outubro 6.5%
$42,746 Vol.
$42,746 Vol.
13 set 2026
7 a 13 de setembro
$1,354 Vol.
3%
14 a 20 de setembro
$400 Vol.
4%
21 de setembro–27 de setembro
$541 Vol.
6%
28 de setembro a 4 de outubro
$506 Vol.
14%
5 a 11 de outubro
$373 Vol.
3%
12 a 18 de outubro
$749 Vol.
16%
19 a 25 de outubro
$427 Vol.
6%
26 de outubro a 1 de novembro
$451 Vol.
3%
Nenhum lançamento até 1º de novembro
$36,653 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s continued delays on Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally targeted for June after its May I/O tease and later slipped into July for additional tuning on coding, agentic tasks, and internal benchmarks, remain the main factor behind traders assigning 37% odds to no Pro release by November 1. The company has instead shipped frequent Flash iterations, including Gemini 3.8 Flash on September 2, while describing the flagship Pro as partner-tested and available “as soon as it’s ready” with no firm public timeline. This pattern of holding back the frontier model while advancing lighter variants and beginning Gemini 4 pre-training has concentrated implied probability in late-September and October windows, reflecting uncertainty over whether performance shortfalls will push resolution past early November.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
Volume
$42,746Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s continued delays on Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally targeted for June after its May I/O tease and later slipped into July for additional tuning on coding, agentic tasks, and internal benchmarks, remain the main factor behind traders assigning 37% odds to no Pro release by November 1. The company has instead shipped frequent Flash iterations, including Gemini 3.8 Flash on September 2, while describing the flagship Pro as partner-tested and available “as soon as it’s ready” with no firm public timeline. This pattern of holding back the frontier model while advancing lighter variants and beginning Gemini 4 pre-training has concentrated implied probability in late-September and October windows, reflecting uncertainty over whether performance shortfalls will push resolution past early November.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$42,746Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google’s continued delays on Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally targeted for June after its May I/O tease and later slipped into July for additional tuning on coding, agentic tasks, and internal benchmarks, remain the main factor behind traders assigning 37% odds to no Pro release by November 1. The company has instead shipped frequent Flash iterations, including Gemini 3.8 Flash on September 2, while describing the flagship Pro as partner-tested and available “as soon as it’s ready” with no firm public timeline. This pattern of holding back the frontier model while advancing lighter variants and beginning Gemini 4 pre-training has concentrated implied probability in late-September and October windows, reflecting uncertainty over whether performance shortfalls will push resolution past early November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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