Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections for the 395-seat House of Representatives feature a fragmented contest in which no party is expected to approach the 198 seats needed for a majority, leaving the outcome dependent on local candidate strength and post-election coalition negotiations. Trader consensus reflects a close race between the Authenticity and Modernity Party (PAM) and the ruling National Rally of Independents (RNI), with Istiqlal and smaller parties trailing far behind. The RNI-PAM-Istiqlal coalition partners are now competing directly after RNI leadership transitioned from Aziz Akhannouch to Mohamed Chaouki amid lingering public discontent from the Gen Z 212 protests over unemployment, healthcare, and living costs. PAM has gained visibility through detailed platform costing and recruitment, while the RNI relies on its territorial network and incumbency record; recent voter registration figures and the start of official campaigning have not yet produced decisive separation in implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPAM 42%
RNI 38.4%
PI 9.3%
PPS <1%
$43,425 Vol.
$43,425 Vol.
23 set 2026
PAM
42%
RNI
38%
PI
9%
PPS
<1%
USFP
<1%
MP
<1%
UC
<1%
PJD
<1%
PAM 42%
RNI 38.4%
PI 9.3%
PPS <1%
$43,425 Vol.
$43,425 Vol.
23 set 2026
PAM
$11,277 Vol.
42%
RNI
$18,941 Vol.
38%
PI
$8,305 Vol.
9%
PPS
$910 Vol.
<1%
USFP
$971 Vol.
<1%
MP
$1,082 Vol.
<1%
UC
$1,003 Vol.
<1%
PJD
$937 Vol.
<1%
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections for the 395-seat House of Representatives feature a fragmented contest in which no party is expected to approach the 198 seats needed for a majority, leaving the outcome dependent on local candidate strength and post-election coalition negotiations. Trader consensus reflects a close race between the Authenticity and Modernity Party (PAM) and the ruling National Rally of Independents (RNI), with Istiqlal and smaller parties trailing far behind. The RNI-PAM-Istiqlal coalition partners are now competing directly after RNI leadership transitioned from Aziz Akhannouch to Mohamed Chaouki amid lingering public discontent from the Gen Z 212 protests over unemployment, healthcare, and living costs. PAM has gained visibility through detailed platform costing and recruitment, while the RNI relies on its territorial network and incumbency record; recent voter registration figures and the start of official campaigning have not yet produced decisive separation in implied probabilities.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 29, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Volume
$43,425Data de Término
23 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 29, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections for the 395-seat House of Representatives feature a fragmented contest in which no party is expected to approach the 198 seats needed for a majority, leaving the outcome dependent on local candidate strength and post-election coalition negotiations. Trader consensus reflects a close race between the Authenticity and Modernity Party (PAM) and the ruling National Rally of Independents (RNI), with Istiqlal and smaller parties trailing far behind. The RNI-PAM-Istiqlal coalition partners are now competing directly after RNI leadership transitioned from Aziz Akhannouch to Mohamed Chaouki amid lingering public discontent from the Gen Z 212 protests over unemployment, healthcare, and living costs. PAM has gained visibility through detailed platform costing and recruitment, while the RNI relies on its territorial network and incumbency record; recent voter registration figures and the start of official campaigning have not yet produced decisive separation in implied probabilities.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$43,425Data de Término
23 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 29, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections for the 395-seat House of Representatives feature a fragmented contest in which no party is expected to approach the 198 seats needed for a majority, leaving the outcome dependent on local candidate strength and post-election coalition negotiations. Trader consensus reflects a close race between the Authenticity and Modernity Party (PAM) and the ruling National Rally of Independents (RNI), with Istiqlal and smaller parties trailing far behind. The RNI-PAM-Istiqlal coalition partners are now competing directly after RNI leadership transitioned from Aziz Akhannouch to Mohamed Chaouki amid lingering public discontent from the Gen Z 212 protests over unemployment, healthcare, and living costs. PAM has gained visibility through detailed platform costing and recruitment, while the RNI relies on its territorial network and incumbency record; recent voter registration figures and the start of official campaigning have not yet produced decisive separation in implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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