PAN leads trader expectations for second place in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election because national polling since mid-2026 consistently places it ahead of other opposition parties, typically in the 11-18% range behind Morena’s 35-45% share. Recent surveys from Buendía & Márquez, Mitofsky, and LaEncuesta MX show PAN edging PRI and Movimiento Ciudadano among non-Morena options, with the gap too narrow for statistical certainty but stable enough to shape market pricing. Opposition fragmentation, limited national alliances, and Morena’s continued organizational edge reinforce PAN’s relative standing, while PVEM, PT, and MC trail further back. Scheduled candidate selections and state-level negotiations in the coming months could still shift momentum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
PAN 77%
PRI 16.4%
PVEM 7%
MC 1.9%
$83,219 Vol.
$83,219 Vol.
5 jun 2027
PAN
77%
PRI
16%
PT
<1%
PVEM
7%
MC
2%
Morena
1%
PAN 77%
PRI 16.4%
PVEM 7%
MC 1.9%
$83,219 Vol.
$83,219 Vol.
5 jun 2027
PAN
$38,051 Vol.
77%
PRI
$14,423 Vol.
16%
PT
$8,001 Vol.
<1%
PVEM
$12,856 Vol.
7%
MC
$4,617 Vol.
2%
Morena
$5,271 Vol.
1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).PAN leads trader expectations for second place in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election because national polling since mid-2026 consistently places it ahead of other opposition parties, typically in the 11-18% range behind Morena’s 35-45% share. Recent surveys from Buendía & Márquez, Mitofsky, and LaEncuesta MX show PAN edging PRI and Movimiento Ciudadano among non-Morena options, with the gap too narrow for statistical certainty but stable enough to shape market pricing. Opposition fragmentation, limited national alliances, and Morena’s continued organizational edge reinforce PAN’s relative standing, while PVEM, PT, and MC trail further back. Scheduled candidate selections and state-level negotiations in the coming months could still shift momentum.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Mercado Aberto: May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Volume
$83,219Data de Término
6 jun 2027Mercado Aberto
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).PAN leads trader expectations for second place in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election because national polling since mid-2026 consistently places it ahead of other opposition parties, typically in the 11-18% range behind Morena’s 35-45% share. Recent surveys from Buendía & Márquez, Mitofsky, and LaEncuesta MX show PAN edging PRI and Movimiento Ciudadano among non-Morena options, with the gap too narrow for statistical certainty but stable enough to shape market pricing. Opposition fragmentation, limited national alliances, and Morena’s continued organizational edge reinforce PAN’s relative standing, while PVEM, PT, and MC trail further back. Scheduled candidate selections and state-level negotiations in the coming months could still shift momentum.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Volume
$83,219Data de Término
6 jun 2027Mercado Aberto
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAN leads trader expectations for second place in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election because national polling since mid-2026 consistently places it ahead of other opposition parties, typically in the 11-18% range behind Morena’s 35-45% share. Recent surveys from Buendía & Márquez, Mitofsky, and LaEncuesta MX show PAN edging PRI and Movimiento Ciudadano among non-Morena options, with the gap too narrow for statistical certainty but stable enough to shape market pricing. Opposition fragmentation, limited national alliances, and Morena’s continued organizational edge reinforce PAN’s relative standing, while PVEM, PT, and MC trail further back. Scheduled candidate selections and state-level negotiations in the coming months could still shift momentum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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