Current forecast models indicate Shenzhen's overnight minimum on September 21 will likely settle in the 26–28°C range under subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity near 80%, light variable winds, and scattered cloud cover or showers limiting radiative cooling. Official guidance shows daytime highs near 31–33°C transitioning to partly clear or thundery skies after sunset, keeping dew points elevated and suppressing sharper drops. Trader consensus around 27–28°C reflects this modest cooling potential, while nearby probabilities for 26°C capture possible brief clearer intervals or light rain effects; model spread in cloud timing and precipitation creates the tight clustering rather than a single dominant outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Shenzhen em 21 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Shenzhen em 21 de setembro?
28°C 99.9%
23°C 20%
24°C 20%
27°C 20%
$362 Vol.
$362 Vol.
21 set 2026
22°C ou menos
19%
23°C
20%
24°C
20%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
20%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
28°C 99.9%
23°C 20%
24°C 20%
27°C 20%
$362 Vol.
$362 Vol.
21 set 2026
22°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
19%
23°C
$5 Vol.
20%
24°C
$5 Vol.
20%
25°C
$75 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$82 Vol.
3%
27°C
$25 Vol.
20%
28°C
$39 Vol.
100%
29°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou mais
$31 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate Shenzhen's overnight minimum on September 21 will likely settle in the 26–28°C range under subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity near 80%, light variable winds, and scattered cloud cover or showers limiting radiative cooling. Official guidance shows daytime highs near 31–33°C transitioning to partly clear or thundery skies after sunset, keeping dew points elevated and suppressing sharper drops. Trader consensus around 27–28°C reflects this modest cooling potential, while nearby probabilities for 26°C capture possible brief clearer intervals or light rain effects; model spread in cloud timing and precipitation creates the tight clustering rather than a single dominant outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$362Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate Shenzhen's overnight minimum on September 21 will likely settle in the 26–28°C range under subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity near 80%, light variable winds, and scattered cloud cover or showers limiting radiative cooling. Official guidance shows daytime highs near 31–33°C transitioning to partly clear or thundery skies after sunset, keeping dew points elevated and suppressing sharper drops. Trader consensus around 27–28°C reflects this modest cooling potential, while nearby probabilities for 26°C capture possible brief clearer intervals or light rain effects; model spread in cloud timing and precipitation creates the tight clustering rather than a single dominant outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$362Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate Shenzhen's overnight minimum on September 21 will likely settle in the 26–28°C range under subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity near 80%, light variable winds, and scattered cloud cover or showers limiting radiative cooling. Official guidance shows daytime highs near 31–33°C transitioning to partly clear or thundery skies after sunset, keeping dew points elevated and suppressing sharper drops. Trader consensus around 27–28°C reflects this modest cooling potential, while nearby probabilities for 26°C capture possible brief clearer intervals or light rain effects; model spread in cloud timing and precipitation creates the tight clustering rather than a single dominant outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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