Ralph Alvarado holds a clear edge in Kentucky’s open 6th District race, where the district’s narrow Republican registration advantage and historical voting patterns support the 72.5% implied probability. Alvarado, a former state senator and Trump-endorsed physician, won his May primary decisively and benefits from name recognition plus endorsements from state and national Republican figures. Democrat Zach Dembo, a former federal prosecutor and Navy veteran endorsed by Gov. Andy Beshear, has narrowed the gap in some summer polls, including a DCCC survey showing a statistical tie. Recent developments include a September debate scheduling dispute, with Dembo proposing two events and Alvarado accepting one for late October, alongside scrutiny over Alvarado’s prior outside employment. Traders appear to weigh the district’s structural lean and Alvarado’s profile more heavily than the competitive polling environment ahead of the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa KY-06
Vencedor da eleição da casa KY-06
$34,980 Vol.
$34,980 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Ralph Alvarado (R)
73%
Zach Dembo (D)
26%
$34,980 Vol.
$34,980 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Ralph Alvarado (R)
$14,999 Vol.
73%
Zach Dembo (D)
$19,982 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ralph Alvarado holds a clear edge in Kentucky’s open 6th District race, where the district’s narrow Republican registration advantage and historical voting patterns support the 72.5% implied probability. Alvarado, a former state senator and Trump-endorsed physician, won his May primary decisively and benefits from name recognition plus endorsements from state and national Republican figures. Democrat Zach Dembo, a former federal prosecutor and Navy veteran endorsed by Gov. Andy Beshear, has narrowed the gap in some summer polls, including a DCCC survey showing a statistical tie. Recent developments include a September debate scheduling dispute, with Dembo proposing two events and Alvarado accepting one for late October, alongside scrutiny over Alvarado’s prior outside employment. Traders appear to weigh the district’s structural lean and Alvarado’s profile more heavily than the competitive polling environment ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$34,980Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ralph Alvarado holds a clear edge in Kentucky’s open 6th District race, where the district’s narrow Republican registration advantage and historical voting patterns support the 72.5% implied probability. Alvarado, a former state senator and Trump-endorsed physician, won his May primary decisively and benefits from name recognition plus endorsements from state and national Republican figures. Democrat Zach Dembo, a former federal prosecutor and Navy veteran endorsed by Gov. Andy Beshear, has narrowed the gap in some summer polls, including a DCCC survey showing a statistical tie. Recent developments include a September debate scheduling dispute, with Dembo proposing two events and Alvarado accepting one for late October, alongside scrutiny over Alvarado’s prior outside employment. Traders appear to weigh the district’s structural lean and Alvarado’s profile more heavily than the competitive polling environment ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$34,980Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ralph Alvarado holds a clear edge in Kentucky’s open 6th District race, where the district’s narrow Republican registration advantage and historical voting patterns support the 72.5% implied probability. Alvarado, a former state senator and Trump-endorsed physician, won his May primary decisively and benefits from name recognition plus endorsements from state and national Republican figures. Democrat Zach Dembo, a former federal prosecutor and Navy veteran endorsed by Gov. Andy Beshear, has narrowed the gap in some summer polls, including a DCCC survey showing a statistical tie. Recent developments include a September debate scheduling dispute, with Dembo proposing two events and Alvarado accepting one for late October, alongside scrutiny over Alvarado’s prior outside employment. Traders appear to weigh the district’s structural lean and Alvarado’s profile more heavily than the competitive polling environment ahead of the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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