Brett Guthrie holds a commanding lead in the KY-02 race as the long-serving Republican incumbent who easily secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary. The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent electoral margins and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid for the GOP, underpins trader consensus around his reelection. Megan Wingfield emerged from a fragmented Democratic primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter registration. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, limited recent developments have altered the outlook. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national political shift, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout, though current indicators show few signs of such movement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoKY-02 House Election Winner
KY-02 House Election Winner
$13,968 Vol.
$13,968 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Brett Guthrie (R)
95%
Megan Wingfield (D)
5%
$13,968 Vol.
$13,968 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Brett Guthrie (R)
$6,297 Vol.
95%
Megan Wingfield (D)
$7,671 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brett Guthrie holds a commanding lead in the KY-02 race as the long-serving Republican incumbent who easily secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary. The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent electoral margins and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid for the GOP, underpins trader consensus around his reelection. Megan Wingfield emerged from a fragmented Democratic primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter registration. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, limited recent developments have altered the outlook. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national political shift, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout, though current indicators show few signs of such movement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$13,968Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brett Guthrie holds a commanding lead in the KY-02 race as the long-serving Republican incumbent who easily secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary. The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent electoral margins and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid for the GOP, underpins trader consensus around his reelection. Megan Wingfield emerged from a fragmented Democratic primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter registration. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, limited recent developments have altered the outlook. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national political shift, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout, though current indicators show few signs of such movement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,968Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Brett Guthrie holds a commanding lead in the KY-02 race as the long-serving Republican incumbent who easily secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary. The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent electoral margins and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid for the GOP, underpins trader consensus around his reelection. Megan Wingfield emerged from a fragmented Democratic primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter registration. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, limited recent developments have altered the outlook. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national political shift, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout, though current indicators show few signs of such movement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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