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icon for Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Hualien
Política·Taiwan

Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Hualien

icon for Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Hualien
Política·Taiwan

Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Hualien

Yu Shu-chen 79%

Wei Chia-hsien 15%

Chang Chun 5.0%

Yeh Yao-hui 5.0%

Polymarket
NOVO

Yu Shu-chen 79%

Wei Chia-hsien 15%

Chang Chun 5.0%

Yeh Yao-hui 5.0%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Yu Shu-chen

Yu Shu-chen

$2,888 Vol.

79%

icon for Wei Chia-hsien

Wei Chia-hsien

$1,389 Vol.

15%

icon for Chang Chun

Chang Chun

$901 Vol.

5%

icon for Yeh Yao-hui

Yeh Yao-hui

$1,110 Vol.

5%

icon for Lo Pei-chin

Lo Pei-chin

$464 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Yu Shu-chen, the Kuomintang nominee and incumbent Ji’an Township head, leads the November 28, 2026 Hualien County magistrate race with strong institutional backing in a traditionally pan-blue county. The KMT selected her in March 2026 after she prevailed in the party’s internal poll, positioning her as the successor to the Fu Kun-chi political network. Independent challengers Chang Chun, the county council speaker, and Wei Chia-hsien, a former city mayor and councilor—both ex-KMT figures—split pro-KMT support and appeal to overlapping factions, while the absence of a Democratic Progressive Party nominee leaves roughly one-quarter of the electorate potentially decisive. Recent polls, including Storm Media surveys, show Yu ahead at around 30 percent amid high undecided shares. Late-August investigations into alleged vote-buying have not materially altered positioning, reinforcing trader consensus around the official nominee’s organizational edge ahead of the vote.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$6,752
Data de Término
28 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Yu Shu-chen, the Kuomintang nominee and incumbent Ji’an Township head, leads the November 28, 2026 Hualien County magistrate race with strong institutional backing in a traditionally pan-blue county. The KMT selected her in March 2026 after she prevailed in the party’s internal poll, positioning her as the successor to the Fu Kun-chi political network. Independent challengers Chang Chun, the county council speaker, and Wei Chia-hsien, a former city mayor and councilor—both ex-KMT figures—split pro-KMT support and appeal to overlapping factions, while the absence of a Democratic Progressive Party nominee leaves roughly one-quarter of the electorate potentially decisive. Recent polls, including Storm Media surveys, show Yu ahead at around 30 percent amid high undecided shares. Late-August investigations into alleged vote-buying have not materially altered positioning, reinforcing trader consensus around the official nominee’s organizational edge ahead of the vote.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$6,752
Data de Término
28 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Hualien" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Yu Shu-chen" at 79%, followed by "Wei Chia-hsien" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Hualien" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Hualien," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Hualien" is "Yu Shu-chen" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Wei Chia-hsien" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Hualien" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.