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icon for Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Miaoli
Política·Taiwan

Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Miaoli

icon for Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Miaoli
Política·Taiwan

Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Miaoli

Polymarket

$23,329 Vol.

Polymarket

$23,329 Vol.

icon for Chung Tung-chin

Chung Tung-chin

$22,185 Vol.

90%

icon for Chen Pin-an

Chen Pin-an

$1,144 Vol.

5%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chung Tung-chin holds a commanding lead in the Miaoli County magistrate race as the incumbent seeking reelection on November 28, 2026. Recent county and independent surveys show his approval ratings above 75 percent, with satisfaction exceeding 80 percent in areas such as social welfare, tourism, healthcare, and agricultural marketing. Strong pan-blue consolidation behind the KMT candidate, including endorsements from party figures and the Taiwan People’s Party, has limited fragmentation in this traditionally Kuomintang-leaning county. Chen Pin-an, the DPP nominee and county councilor, faces structural challenges with lower visibility and no significant pan-green momentum reported. Trader consensus reflects these incumbency and performance factors, though late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp turnout shifts could still affect the outcome before voting.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$23,329
Data de Término
1 jul 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chung Tung-chin holds a commanding lead in the Miaoli County magistrate race as the incumbent seeking reelection on November 28, 2026. Recent county and independent surveys show his approval ratings above 75 percent, with satisfaction exceeding 80 percent in areas such as social welfare, tourism, healthcare, and agricultural marketing. Strong pan-blue consolidation behind the KMT candidate, including endorsements from party figures and the Taiwan People’s Party, has limited fragmentation in this traditionally Kuomintang-leaning county. Chen Pin-an, the DPP nominee and county councilor, faces structural challenges with lower visibility and no significant pan-green momentum reported. Trader consensus reflects these incumbency and performance factors, though late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp turnout shifts could still affect the outcome before voting.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$23,329
Data de Término
1 jul 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Miaoli" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chung Tung-chin" at 90%, followed by "Chen Pin-an" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Miaoli" has generated $23.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Miaoli," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Miaoli" is "Chung Tung-chin" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chen Pin-an" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição do magistrado do condado de Miaoli" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.