Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Istanbul will see a high near 21–22°C on September 22 amid northerly flow, extensive cloud cover, and widespread rain that limits solar heating. Official guidance points to daytime maxima around 21°C with gusty winds further suppressing temperatures, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 21°C. This setup reflects a classic post-summer cooling pattern for the region, where precipitation and reduced insolation typically cap highs 3–5°C below clear-sky September norms. Updated model runs through September 21 show minimal spread, keeping 20–22°C outcomes dominant while lower or higher extremes remain low-probability outliers absent major forecast shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul em 22 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Istambul em 22 de setembro?
21°C 49%
22°C 24%
20°C 22%
23°C 4%
NOVO
NOVO
22 set 2026
17°C ou menos
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
22%
21°C
49%
22°C
24%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C ou mais
<1%
21°C 49%
22°C 24%
20°C 22%
23°C 4%
NOVO
NOVO
22 set 2026
17°C ou menos
$5 Vol.
2%
18°C
$42 Vol.
2%
19°C
$255 Vol.
3%
20°C
$941 Vol.
22%
21°C
$838 Vol.
49%
22°C
$697 Vol.
24%
23°C
$335 Vol.
4%
24°C
$76 Vol.
2%
25°C
$86 Vol.
2%
26°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
27°C ou mais
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Istanbul will see a high near 21–22°C on September 22 amid northerly flow, extensive cloud cover, and widespread rain that limits solar heating. Official guidance points to daytime maxima around 21°C with gusty winds further suppressing temperatures, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 21°C. This setup reflects a classic post-summer cooling pattern for the region, where precipitation and reduced insolation typically cap highs 3–5°C below clear-sky September norms. Updated model runs through September 21 show minimal spread, keeping 20–22°C outcomes dominant while lower or higher extremes remain low-probability outliers absent major forecast shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,390Data de Término
22 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Istanbul will see a high near 21–22°C on September 22 amid northerly flow, extensive cloud cover, and widespread rain that limits solar heating. Official guidance points to daytime maxima around 21°C with gusty winds further suppressing temperatures, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 21°C. This setup reflects a classic post-summer cooling pattern for the region, where precipitation and reduced insolation typically cap highs 3–5°C below clear-sky September norms. Updated model runs through September 21 show minimal spread, keeping 20–22°C outcomes dominant while lower or higher extremes remain low-probability outliers absent major forecast shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,390Data de Término
22 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Istanbul will see a high near 21–22°C on September 22 amid northerly flow, extensive cloud cover, and widespread rain that limits solar heating. Official guidance points to daytime maxima around 21°C with gusty winds further suppressing temperatures, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 21°C. This setup reflects a classic post-summer cooling pattern for the region, where precipitation and reduced insolation typically cap highs 3–5°C below clear-sky September norms. Updated model runs through September 21 show minimal spread, keeping 20–22°C outcomes dominant while lower or higher extremes remain low-probability outliers absent major forecast shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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