The near-certain trader consensus against abolition of the Federal Reserve before 2027 reflects the central bank's entrenched statutory role in U.S. monetary policy and the formidable legislative barriers to repeal. Bills such as the Federal Reserve Board Abolition Act, introduced in the 119th Congress and referred to committee without further action, illustrate the limited support even among proponents of reform. Recent developments, including Supreme Court rulings affirming limits on presidential removal authority and ongoing internal task forces examining operational changes under Chair Kevin Warsh, underscore institutional continuity rather than dissolution. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include a severe financial crisis eroding public confidence, a fundamental realignment of congressional majorities enabling passage of repeal legislation, or coordinated executive and legislative moves to replace the current framework with an alternative monetary authority.