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icon for RFK Jr. Sairá em 31 de outubro?

RFK Jr. Sairá em 31 de outubro?

icon for RFK Jr. Sairá em 31 de outubro?

RFK Jr. Sairá em 31 de outubro?

Sim

18% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

18% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**RFK Jr. remains U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services with sustained White House alignment on Make America Healthy Again priorities, including recent vaccine advisory panel changes, leadership reorganizations at HHS, and public appearances reaffirming policy direction.** As of mid-September 2026, he delivered a keynote at a Children’s Health Defense conference, stating he would continue the work and describing the administration as supportive, while advancing related executive actions on vaccine scheduling and preventive care panels. President Trump has reiterated backing amid ongoing congressional scrutiny and external calls for resignation from some health groups. No official statements, Senate actions, or credible reports indicate an imminent departure before the October 31 resolution window, supporting trader consensus reflected in the current “No” pricing. Scheduled confirmation processes, midterm timing, and institutional continuity further anchor expectations of stability in the near term.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$605
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 9:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**RFK Jr. remains U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services with sustained White House alignment on Make America Healthy Again priorities, including recent vaccine advisory panel changes, leadership reorganizations at HHS, and public appearances reaffirming policy direction.** As of mid-September 2026, he delivered a keynote at a Children’s Health Defense conference, stating he would continue the work and describing the administration as supportive, while advancing related executive actions on vaccine scheduling and preventive care panels. President Trump has reiterated backing amid ongoing congressional scrutiny and external calls for resignation from some health groups. No official statements, Senate actions, or credible reports indicate an imminent departure before the October 31 resolution window, supporting trader consensus reflected in the current “No” pricing. Scheduled confirmation processes, midterm timing, and institutional continuity further anchor expectations of stability in the near term.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$605
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 9:28 AM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"RFK Jr. Sairá em 31 de outubro?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "RFK Jr. fora até 31 de outubro?" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"RFK Jr. Sairá em 31 de outubro?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "RFK Jr. Sairá em 31 de outubro?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "RFK Jr. Sairá em 31 de outubro?" is "RFK Jr. fora até 31 de outubro?" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "RFK Jr. Sairá em 31 de outubro?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.