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icon for A esposa de Maduro, Cilia Flores, libertada da custódia por...?

A esposa de Maduro, Cilia Flores, libertada da custódia por...?

icon for A esposa de Maduro, Cilia Flores, libertada da custódia por...?

A esposa de Maduro, Cilia Flores, libertada da custódia por...?

$1,377,934 Vol.

30 jan 2026
Polymarket

$1,377,934 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de dezembro

$331,332 Vol.

43%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores, wife of former Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, has remained in U.S. federal custody at Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center since their January 2026 capture during a U.S. operation in Caracas. Both face drug trafficking and related charges in Manhattan federal court, with a trial scheduled for June 2027; they have pleaded not guilty. On September 10, 2026, her attorneys filed a motion seeking pretrial release to restrictive home confinement within the district, citing a documented worsening of her preexisting mitral valve prolapse, including a reported July episode of chest pressure, weight loss, and medical recommendations for cardiac catheterization. Federal prosecutors oppose the request, and Judge Alvin K. Hellerstein has not yet ruled. Any decision on medical grounds or security arrangements could directly influence the timing of her potential release from custody.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,377,934
Data de Término
31 jan 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores, wife of former Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, has remained in U.S. federal custody at Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center since their January 2026 capture during a U.S. operation in Caracas. Both face drug trafficking and related charges in Manhattan federal court, with a trial scheduled for June 2027; they have pleaded not guilty. On September 10, 2026, her attorneys filed a motion seeking pretrial release to restrictive home confinement within the district, citing a documented worsening of her preexisting mitral valve prolapse, including a reported July episode of chest pressure, weight loss, and medical recommendations for cardiac catheterization. Federal prosecutors oppose the request, and Judge Alvin K. Hellerstein has not yet ruled. Any decision on medical grounds or security arrangements could directly influence the timing of her potential release from custody.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,377,934
Data de Término
31 jan 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"A esposa de Maduro, Cilia Flores, libertada da custódia por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro" at 43%, followed by "9 de janeiro" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "A esposa de Maduro, Cilia Flores, libertada da custódia por...?" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "A esposa de Maduro, Cilia Flores, libertada da custódia por...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "A esposa de Maduro, Cilia Flores, libertada da custódia por...?" is "31 de dezembro" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "9 de janeiro" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "A esposa de Maduro, Cilia Flores, libertada da custódia por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.