Bipartisan Senate opposition, including a unanimous July 2026 resolution urging no clemency, combined with White House statements that a pardon is not under consideration, anchors the 95% "No" probability on this market. Ghislaine Maxwell’s appeals were exhausted after the Supreme Court declined review in October 2025 and a federal judge rejected her habeas petition in August 2026 as meritless. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche has not recommended clemency, while Trump has described the matter as one he has not thought about and would refer to the Department of Justice. Ongoing releases of Epstein investigative files and victim advocacy have sustained reputational and political costs that traders view as significant barriers through the end of 2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
5% chance
$759,333 Vol.
$759,333 Vol.
30 dez 2026
Ganhe 3.25%
Sim
5% chance
$759,333 Vol.
$759,333 Vol.
30 dez 2026
Ganhe 3.25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Bipartisan Senate opposition, including a unanimous July 2026 resolution urging no clemency, combined with White House statements that a pardon is not under consideration, anchors the 95% "No" probability on this market. Ghislaine Maxwell’s appeals were exhausted after the Supreme Court declined review in October 2025 and a federal judge rejected her habeas petition in August 2026 as meritless. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche has not recommended clemency, while Trump has described the matter as one he has not thought about and would refer to the Department of Justice. Ongoing releases of Epstein investigative files and victim advocacy have sustained reputational and political costs that traders view as significant barriers through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
Volume
$759,333Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Bipartisan Senate opposition, including a unanimous July 2026 resolution urging no clemency, combined with White House statements that a pardon is not under consideration, anchors the 95% "No" probability on this market. Ghislaine Maxwell’s appeals were exhausted after the Supreme Court declined review in October 2025 and a federal judge rejected her habeas petition in August 2026 as meritless. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche has not recommended clemency, while Trump has described the matter as one he has not thought about and would refer to the Department of Justice. Ongoing releases of Epstein investigative files and victim advocacy have sustained reputational and political costs that traders view as significant barriers through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$759,333Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Bipartisan Senate opposition, including a unanimous July 2026 resolution urging no clemency, combined with White House statements that a pardon is not under consideration, anchors the 95% "No" probability on this market. Ghislaine Maxwell’s appeals were exhausted after the Supreme Court declined review in October 2025 and a federal judge rejected her habeas petition in August 2026 as meritless. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche has not recommended clemency, while Trump has described the matter as one he has not thought about and would refer to the Department of Justice. Ongoing releases of Epstein investigative files and victim advocacy have sustained reputational and political costs that traders view as significant barriers through the end of 2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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