Wyoming’s at-large congressional district maintains one of the nation’s strongest Republican leans, with the seat in GOP hands since 1978 and consistent double-digit margins in recent presidential and statewide voting. Chuck Gray secured the Republican nomination in the August 18, 2026 primary with 25 percent in a crowded field, advancing as the clear favorite against Democrat Lisa Kinney, who won her party’s primary. Forecasts rate the race solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that places Gray above 97 percent. The outcome could shift only under extraordinary late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unprecedented turnout surge, though the state’s partisan fundamentals and registration edge make such changes unlikely before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWY-AL House Election Winner
$44,335 Wol.
$44,335 Wol.
Chuck Gray (R)
98%
Lisa Kinney (D)
<1%
$44,335 Wol.
$44,335 Wol.
Chuck Gray (R)
98%
Lisa Kinney (D)
<1%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming’s at-large congressional district maintains one of the nation’s strongest Republican leans, with the seat in GOP hands since 1978 and consistent double-digit margins in recent presidential and statewide voting. Chuck Gray secured the Republican nomination in the August 18, 2026 primary with 25 percent in a crowded field, advancing as the clear favorite against Democrat Lisa Kinney, who won her party’s primary. Forecasts rate the race solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that places Gray above 97 percent. The outcome could shift only under extraordinary late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unprecedented turnout surge, though the state’s partisan fundamentals and registration edge make such changes unlikely before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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