Suzan DelBene's incumbency and the district's consistent Democratic lean drive the overwhelming trader consensus in her favor for the November 2026 general election. The August 2026 top-two primary confirmed her position, with DelBene advancing at roughly 53 percent against Republican Mary Silva's 26 percent amid a fragmented field. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the northern Seattle metro area's voting patterns and DelBene's prior 63 percent victory in 2024. Silva's minimal fundraising and low visibility further limit competitive pressure. Only late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment would realistically alter the outcome in the remaining weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWA-01 House Election Winner
$45,611 Wol.
$45,611 Wol.
Suzan DelBene (D)
96%
Mary Silva (R)
2%
$45,611 Wol.
$45,611 Wol.
Suzan DelBene (D)
96%
Mary Silva (R)
2%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Suzan DelBene's incumbency and the district's consistent Democratic lean drive the overwhelming trader consensus in her favor for the November 2026 general election. The August 2026 top-two primary confirmed her position, with DelBene advancing at roughly 53 percent against Republican Mary Silva's 26 percent amid a fragmented field. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the northern Seattle metro area's voting patterns and DelBene's prior 63 percent victory in 2024. Silva's minimal fundraising and low visibility further limit competitive pressure. Only late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment would realistically alter the outcome in the remaining weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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