OpenAI holds the highest market-implied odds at 42% to finish as the second-ranked lab on Text Arena’s math leaderboard by end of October, ahead of Anthropic at 25.5% and Google at 25%, reflecting tight trader consensus amid a crowded field. Current arena data shows Anthropic’s Claude models (including fable-5 and opus variants) dominating top math scores above 1520, positioning Google’s Gemini flash and pro lines as the nearest challengers while OpenAI’s GPT-5 series sits just behind in the 1490–1501 range. Recent releases and iterative updates from these labs have kept the math category competitive, with no single clear second-place leader. Key catalysts include any late-September or October model drops that could shift Elo ratings before resolution, alongside ongoing crowdsourced voting volume on the platform. The narrow spread underscores how small benchmark gains or slips could determine the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSecond-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
OpenAI 42%
Anthropic 26%
Google 19%
Alibaba 5%
$54,071 Wol.
$54,071 Wol.
Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI
42%
Anthropic
26%
25%
Alibaba
5%
Baidu
2%
Moonshot
1%
Z.ai
1%
DeepSeek
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Meta
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Meituan
1%
ByteDance
1%
StepFun
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
OpenAI 42%
Anthropic 26%
Google 19%
Alibaba 5%
$54,071 Wol.
$54,071 Wol.
Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI
$4,724 Wol.
42%
Anthropic
$5,175 Wol.
26%
$32,996 Wol.
25%
Alibaba
$1,361 Wol.
5%
Baidu
$618 Wol.
2%
Moonshot
$611 Wol.
1%
Z.ai
$709 Wol.
1%
DeepSeek
$626 Wol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$608 Wol.
1%
Meta
$601 Wol.
1%
Xiaomi
$568 Wol.
1%
Meituan
$919 Wol.
1%
ByteDance
$636 Wol.
1%
StepFun
$622 Wol.
<1%
Amazon
$662 Wol.
<1%
Tencent
$631 Wol.
<1%
Microsoft
$777 Wol.
<1%
Nvidia
$521 Wol.
<1%
MiniMax
$370 Wol.
<1%
Mistral
$336 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI holds the highest market-implied odds at 42% to finish as the second-ranked lab on Text Arena’s math leaderboard by end of October, ahead of Anthropic at 25.5% and Google at 25%, reflecting tight trader consensus amid a crowded field. Current arena data shows Anthropic’s Claude models (including fable-5 and opus variants) dominating top math scores above 1520, positioning Google’s Gemini flash and pro lines as the nearest challengers while OpenAI’s GPT-5 series sits just behind in the 1490–1501 range. Recent releases and iterative updates from these labs have kept the math category competitive, with no single clear second-place leader. Key catalysts include any late-September or October model drops that could shift Elo ratings before resolution, alongside ongoing crowdsourced voting volume on the platform. The narrow spread underscores how small benchmark gains or slips could determine the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Wolumen
$54,071Data zakończenia
Nov 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI holds the highest market-implied odds at 42% to finish as the second-ranked lab on Text Arena’s math leaderboard by end of October, ahead of Anthropic at 25.5% and Google at 25%, reflecting tight trader consensus amid a crowded field. Current arena data shows Anthropic’s Claude models (including fable-5 and opus variants) dominating top math scores above 1520, positioning Google’s Gemini flash and pro lines as the nearest challengers while OpenAI’s GPT-5 series sits just behind in the 1490–1501 range. Recent releases and iterative updates from these labs have kept the math category competitive, with no single clear second-place leader. Key catalysts include any late-September or October model drops that could shift Elo ratings before resolution, alongside ongoing crowdsourced voting volume on the platform. The narrow spread underscores how small benchmark gains or slips could determine the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Wolumen
$54,071Data zakończenia
Nov 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI holds the highest market-implied odds at 42% to finish as the second-ranked lab on Text Arena’s math leaderboard by end of October, ahead of Anthropic at 25.5% and Google at 25%, reflecting tight trader consensus amid a crowded field. Current arena data shows Anthropic’s Claude models (including fable-5 and opus variants) dominating top math scores above 1520, positioning Google’s Gemini flash and pro lines as the nearest challengers while OpenAI’s GPT-5 series sits just behind in the 1490–1501 range. Recent releases and iterative updates from these labs have kept the math category competitive, with no single clear second-place leader. Key catalysts include any late-September or October model drops that could shift Elo ratings before resolution, alongside ongoing crowdsourced voting volume on the platform. The narrow spread underscores how small benchmark gains or slips could determine the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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