Robust revenue growth to a roughly $40 billion annualized run rate by August 2026, with enterprise demand accelerating, underpins the 69% market-implied odds for a 1.5T+ closing market cap. Persistent investor appetite, evident in September 2026 talks for a potential $1.2–1.5 trillion private round and the prior $852 billion March valuation, supports expectations of a premium IPO debut despite heavy losses and infrastructure costs. CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion floor, combined with the June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and September confirmation that a 2026 listing is off the table due to AI safety priorities, has shifted consensus toward a 2027 window at elevated levels. Traders price in continued scaling and risk-on sentiment for frontier AI names, while the modest 13.7% odds on no IPO by end-2027 reflect the optionality retained by the confidential filing and strong capital access.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano1.5T+ 69.0%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 13.7%
1.25T–1.5T 10%
1T–1.25T 4.0%
$331,936 Wol.
$331,936 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
1%
500–750B
1%
750B–1T
2%
1T–1.25T
4%
1.25T–1.5T
10%
1.5T+
69%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
14%
1.5T+ 69.0%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 13.7%
1.25T–1.5T 10%
1T–1.25T 4.0%
$331,936 Wol.
$331,936 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
$28,825 Wol.
1%
500–750B
$26,107 Wol.
1%
750B–1T
$64,535 Wol.
2%
1T–1.25T
$39,465 Wol.
4%
1.25T–1.5T
$29,174 Wol.
10%
1.5T+
$74,192 Wol.
69%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$69,639 Wol.
14%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Robust revenue growth to a roughly $40 billion annualized run rate by August 2026, with enterprise demand accelerating, underpins the 69% market-implied odds for a 1.5T+ closing market cap. Persistent investor appetite, evident in September 2026 talks for a potential $1.2–1.5 trillion private round and the prior $852 billion March valuation, supports expectations of a premium IPO debut despite heavy losses and infrastructure costs. CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion floor, combined with the June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and September confirmation that a 2026 listing is off the table due to AI safety priorities, has shifted consensus toward a 2027 window at elevated levels. Traders price in continued scaling and risk-on sentiment for frontier AI names, while the modest 13.7% odds on no IPO by end-2027 reflect the optionality retained by the confidential filing and strong capital access.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$331,936Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2028Rynek otwarty
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Robust revenue growth to a roughly $40 billion annualized run rate by August 2026, with enterprise demand accelerating, underpins the 69% market-implied odds for a 1.5T+ closing market cap. Persistent investor appetite, evident in September 2026 talks for a potential $1.2–1.5 trillion private round and the prior $852 billion March valuation, supports expectations of a premium IPO debut despite heavy losses and infrastructure costs. CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion floor, combined with the June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and September confirmation that a 2026 listing is off the table due to AI safety priorities, has shifted consensus toward a 2027 window at elevated levels. Traders price in continued scaling and risk-on sentiment for frontier AI names, while the modest 13.7% odds on no IPO by end-2027 reflect the optionality retained by the confidential filing and strong capital access.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$331,936Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2028Rynek otwarty
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Robust revenue growth to a roughly $40 billion annualized run rate by August 2026, with enterprise demand accelerating, underpins the 69% market-implied odds for a 1.5T+ closing market cap. Persistent investor appetite, evident in September 2026 talks for a potential $1.2–1.5 trillion private round and the prior $852 billion March valuation, supports expectations of a premium IPO debut despite heavy losses and infrastructure costs. CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a $1 trillion floor, combined with the June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and September confirmation that a 2026 listing is off the table due to AI safety priorities, has shifted consensus toward a 2027 window at elevated levels. Traders price in continued scaling and risk-on sentiment for frontier AI names, while the modest 13.7% odds on no IPO by end-2027 reflect the optionality retained by the confidential filing and strong capital access.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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