The Parti Québécois maintains a consistent polling lead near 29 percent in recent surveys from Léger and Pallas Data ahead of the October 5 election, translating into strong trader consensus for a plurality of seats. This positioning reflects sustained voter desire for change from the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec, whose support has stabilized around 23-24 percent under new leader Christine Fréchette after earlier declines. The Quebec Liberal Party trails at roughly 20-22 percent following leadership transition and regional weakness outside Montreal, while the Parti Conservateur du Québec consolidates support mainly in the Quebec City area. Québec solidaire and the Parti Vert du Québec register minimal provincewide backing. Seat models from aggregators assign the PQ an 80-89 percent chance of winning the most ridings, though a minority outcome remains the most probable result given fragmented regional voting patterns and the compressed campaign timeline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoGeneralny zwycięzca wyborów w Quebecu
Generalny zwycięzca wyborów w Quebecu
PQ 76%
CAQ 24%
PLQ 2.4%
PCQ <1%
$894,434 Wol.
$894,434 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
PQ
76%
CAQ
24%
PLQ
2%
PCQ
<1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 76%
CAQ 24%
PLQ 2.4%
PCQ <1%
$894,434 Wol.
$894,434 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
PQ
$121,525 Wol.
76%
CAQ
$137,515 Wol.
24%
PLQ
$123,958 Wol.
2%
PCQ
$247,391 Wol.
<1%
PVQ
$157,522 Wol.
<1%
QS
$106,523 Wol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois maintains a consistent polling lead near 29 percent in recent surveys from Léger and Pallas Data ahead of the October 5 election, translating into strong trader consensus for a plurality of seats. This positioning reflects sustained voter desire for change from the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec, whose support has stabilized around 23-24 percent under new leader Christine Fréchette after earlier declines. The Quebec Liberal Party trails at roughly 20-22 percent following leadership transition and regional weakness outside Montreal, while the Parti Conservateur du Québec consolidates support mainly in the Quebec City area. Québec solidaire and the Parti Vert du Québec register minimal provincewide backing. Seat models from aggregators assign the PQ an 80-89 percent chance of winning the most ridings, though a minority outcome remains the most probable result given fragmented regional voting patterns and the compressed campaign timeline.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Wolumen
$894,434Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois maintains a consistent polling lead near 29 percent in recent surveys from Léger and Pallas Data ahead of the October 5 election, translating into strong trader consensus for a plurality of seats. This positioning reflects sustained voter desire for change from the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec, whose support has stabilized around 23-24 percent under new leader Christine Fréchette after earlier declines. The Quebec Liberal Party trails at roughly 20-22 percent following leadership transition and regional weakness outside Montreal, while the Parti Conservateur du Québec consolidates support mainly in the Quebec City area. Québec solidaire and the Parti Vert du Québec register minimal provincewide backing. Seat models from aggregators assign the PQ an 80-89 percent chance of winning the most ridings, though a minority outcome remains the most probable result given fragmented regional voting patterns and the compressed campaign timeline.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Wolumen
$894,434Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...The Parti Québécois maintains a consistent polling lead near 29 percent in recent surveys from Léger and Pallas Data ahead of the October 5 election, translating into strong trader consensus for a plurality of seats. This positioning reflects sustained voter desire for change from the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec, whose support has stabilized around 23-24 percent under new leader Christine Fréchette after earlier declines. The Quebec Liberal Party trails at roughly 20-22 percent following leadership transition and regional weakness outside Montreal, while the Parti Conservateur du Québec consolidates support mainly in the Quebec City area. Québec solidaire and the Parti Vert du Québec register minimal provincewide backing. Seat models from aggregators assign the PQ an 80-89 percent chance of winning the most ridings, though a minority outcome remains the most probable result given fragmented regional voting patterns and the compressed campaign timeline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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