Recent polling averages position the CAQ as the clear second-place contender behind the leading Parti Québécois ahead of the October 5 election, reflecting its rebound under Premier Christine Fréchette from earlier lows. The CAQ has gained ground on economic management, U.S. trade concerns, and support outside Montreal, while the PLQ has slipped and the PQ holds a narrow lead. Seat projections indicate tight races between the CAQ and PQ in many ridings, reinforcing the implied probability reflected in current market pricing. Other parties trail further back in both vote intention and projected standings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCAQ 64%
PLQ 18%
PQ 16%
PVQ <1%
$16,918 Wol.
$16,918 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
CAQ
64%
PLQ
18%
PQ
16%
PVQ
1%
QS
1%
PCQ
1%
CAQ 64%
PLQ 18%
PQ 16%
PVQ <1%
$16,918 Wol.
$16,918 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
CAQ
$4,532 Wol.
64%
PLQ
$4,667 Wol.
18%
PQ
$4,111 Wol.
16%
PVQ
$1,226 Wol.
1%
QS
$1,498 Wol.
1%
PCQ
$884 Wol.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages position the CAQ as the clear second-place contender behind the leading Parti Québécois ahead of the October 5 election, reflecting its rebound under Premier Christine Fréchette from earlier lows. The CAQ has gained ground on economic management, U.S. trade concerns, and support outside Montreal, while the PLQ has slipped and the PQ holds a narrow lead. Seat projections indicate tight races between the CAQ and PQ in many ridings, reinforcing the implied probability reflected in current market pricing. Other parties trail further back in both vote intention and projected standings.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$16,918Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages position the CAQ as the clear second-place contender behind the leading Parti Québécois ahead of the October 5 election, reflecting its rebound under Premier Christine Fréchette from earlier lows. The CAQ has gained ground on economic management, U.S. trade concerns, and support outside Montreal, while the PLQ has slipped and the PQ holds a narrow lead. Seat projections indicate tight races between the CAQ and PQ in many ridings, reinforcing the implied probability reflected in current market pricing. Other parties trail further back in both vote intention and projected standings.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Wolumen
$16,918Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages position the CAQ as the clear second-place contender behind the leading Parti Québécois ahead of the October 5 election, reflecting its rebound under Premier Christine Fréchette from earlier lows. The CAQ has gained ground on economic management, U.S. trade concerns, and support outside Montreal, while the PLQ has slipped and the PQ holds a narrow lead. Seat projections indicate tight races between the CAQ and PQ in many ridings, reinforcing the implied probability reflected in current market pricing. Other parties trail further back in both vote intention and projected standings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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