The Falealili 1 by-election, scheduled for 18 September 2026, was triggered after the Court of Appeal upheld the voiding of former FAST MP and deputy prime minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo’s 2025 victory on bribery grounds. FAST has fielded multiple nominees, including Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale, Si’a Fa’aletonu Alec Latu, Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen, and Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai, while HRPP selected Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu and Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko is also contesting. Pre-polling begins in three days, leaving limited time for consolidation. The fragmented candidate list and absence of a single dominant contender have kept implied probabilities closely bunched, with traders pricing in high uncertainty over final vote splits in the constituency.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAuseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 23.0%
Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu 16%
Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko 15%
Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu 4.2%
$20,776 Wol.
$20,776 Wol.

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale
12%

Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu
16%

Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko
15%

Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu
4%

Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen
8%

Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea
1%

Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai
<1%
Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 23.0%
Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu 16%
Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko 15%
Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu 4.2%
$20,776 Wol.
$20,776 Wol.

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale
12%

Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu
16%

Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko
15%

Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu
4%

Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen
8%

Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea
1%

Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Falealili 1 by-election, scheduled for 18 September 2026, was triggered after the Court of Appeal upheld the voiding of former FAST MP and deputy prime minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo’s 2025 victory on bribery grounds. FAST has fielded multiple nominees, including Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale, Si’a Fa’aletonu Alec Latu, Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen, and Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai, while HRPP selected Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu and Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko is also contesting. Pre-polling begins in three days, leaving limited time for consolidation. The fragmented candidate list and absence of a single dominant contender have kept implied probabilities closely bunched, with traders pricing in high uncertainty over final vote splits in the constituency.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania