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icon for How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?
Polityka·Russia

How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?

icon for How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?
Polityka·Russia

How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?

<35 96.4%

85+ 2.1%

35–44 1.1%

65–74 <1%

Polymarket

$128,865 Wol.

<35 96.4%

85+ 2.1%

35–44 1.1%

65–74 <1%

Polymarket

$128,865 Wol.

<35

$33,581 Wol.

96%

35–44

$27,509 Wol.

1%

45–54

$17,435 Wol.

1%

55–64

$14,040 Wol.

1%

65–74

$13,552 Wol.

1%

75–84

$9,273 Wol.

<1%

85+

$13,475 Wol.

2%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.New People, a pro-business systemic opposition party that entered the Duma in 2021 with 13 seats, maintains limited prospects for substantial gains in the September 2026 State Duma election due to its role as a Kremlin-managed outlet for moderate urban and younger voters. Official preliminary results show the party at roughly 8% on party lists, consistent with most state and independent polling, while United Russia dominates both proportional and single-member contests. Yabloko’s exclusion from the ballot and New People’s criticism of specific measures like internet restrictions have provided marginal support, yet administrative controls, weaker regional structures than older parties, and the mixed electoral system constrain single-mandate breakthroughs. This keeps trader consensus on totals below 35 seats at over 96%, with upside scenarios requiring unexpected shifts in voter allocation or district allowances that remain structurally improbable.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Wolumen
$128,865
Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.New People, a pro-business systemic opposition party that entered the Duma in 2021 with 13 seats, maintains limited prospects for substantial gains in the September 2026 State Duma election due to its role as a Kremlin-managed outlet for moderate urban and younger voters. Official preliminary results show the party at roughly 8% on party lists, consistent with most state and independent polling, while United Russia dominates both proportional and single-member contests. Yabloko’s exclusion from the ballot and New People’s criticism of specific measures like internet restrictions have provided marginal support, yet administrative controls, weaker regional structures than older parties, and the mixed electoral system constrain single-mandate breakthroughs. This keeps trader consensus on totals below 35 seats at over 96%, with upside scenarios requiring unexpected shifts in voter allocation or district allowances that remain structurally improbable.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Wolumen
$128,865
Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 8:54 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

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Często zadawane pytania

"How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 7 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "<35" z 96%, za nim "35–44" z 1%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 96¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 96% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?" wygenerował $128.9K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Sep 1, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?", przeglądaj 7 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?" jest "<35" z 96%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 96% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "35–44" z 1%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.