Mary Gay Scanlon's commanding position in the Pennsylvania 5th congressional district race stems from the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of D+15 and uniform "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. As the incumbent since 2019, Scanlon advanced unopposed in the May 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Nicholas Manganaro also faced no primary opposition. Her substantial fundraising edge and established voter base in the southwestern Philadelphia suburbs further reinforce trader consensus around her re-election prospects on November 3. A significant shift would require an unforeseen national political realignment, major candidate-specific development, or unusually low turnout in core Democratic areas.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPA-05 House Election Winner
PA-05 House Election Winner
$37,067 Wol.
$37,067 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mary Gay Scanlon (D)
98%
Nicholas Manganaro (R)
1%
$37,067 Wol.
$37,067 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mary Gay Scanlon (D)
$12,557 Wol.
98%
Nicholas Manganaro (R)
$24,511 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mary Gay Scanlon's commanding position in the Pennsylvania 5th congressional district race stems from the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of D+15 and uniform "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. As the incumbent since 2019, Scanlon advanced unopposed in the May 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Nicholas Manganaro also faced no primary opposition. Her substantial fundraising edge and established voter base in the southwestern Philadelphia suburbs further reinforce trader consensus around her re-election prospects on November 3. A significant shift would require an unforeseen national political realignment, major candidate-specific development, or unusually low turnout in core Democratic areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$37,067Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mary Gay Scanlon's commanding position in the Pennsylvania 5th congressional district race stems from the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of D+15 and uniform "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. As the incumbent since 2019, Scanlon advanced unopposed in the May 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Nicholas Manganaro also faced no primary opposition. Her substantial fundraising edge and established voter base in the southwestern Philadelphia suburbs further reinforce trader consensus around her re-election prospects on November 3. A significant shift would require an unforeseen national political realignment, major candidate-specific development, or unusually low turnout in core Democratic areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$37,067Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Mary Gay Scanlon's commanding position in the Pennsylvania 5th congressional district race stems from the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of D+15 and uniform "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. As the incumbent since 2019, Scanlon advanced unopposed in the May 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Nicholas Manganaro also faced no primary opposition. Her substantial fundraising edge and established voter base in the southwestern Philadelphia suburbs further reinforce trader consensus around her re-election prospects on November 3. A significant shift would require an unforeseen national political realignment, major candidate-specific development, or unusually low turnout in core Democratic areas.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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