The open seat in Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District, following longtime Republican Rep. Mark Amodei’s retirement, favors David Flippo due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, where registered Republicans outnumber Democrats by roughly 70,000 and no Democrat has ever won. Flippo secured the GOP nomination with President Trump’s endorsement after defeating the candidate backed by Gov. Joe Lombardo and Amodei, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in trader assessments. Teresa Benitez-Thompson’s Democratic nomination and endorsements from Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto have raised the profile of the general election contest, with some recent polling showing a narrow margin and forecasters rating the race Likely Republican rather than Solid. The 74.5% implied probability for Flippo reflects these structural advantages and primary dynamics, tempered by Democratic efforts to capitalize on the open seat in a midterm environment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNV-02 House Election Winner
NV-02 House Election Winner
$30,883 Wol.
$30,883 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
David Flippo (R)
75%
Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D)
24%
$30,883 Wol.
$30,883 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
David Flippo (R)
$16,074 Wol.
75%
Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D)
$14,809 Wol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District, following longtime Republican Rep. Mark Amodei’s retirement, favors David Flippo due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, where registered Republicans outnumber Democrats by roughly 70,000 and no Democrat has ever won. Flippo secured the GOP nomination with President Trump’s endorsement after defeating the candidate backed by Gov. Joe Lombardo and Amodei, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in trader assessments. Teresa Benitez-Thompson’s Democratic nomination and endorsements from Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto have raised the profile of the general election contest, with some recent polling showing a narrow margin and forecasters rating the race Likely Republican rather than Solid. The 74.5% implied probability for Flippo reflects these structural advantages and primary dynamics, tempered by Democratic efforts to capitalize on the open seat in a midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$30,883Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District, following longtime Republican Rep. Mark Amodei’s retirement, favors David Flippo due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, where registered Republicans outnumber Democrats by roughly 70,000 and no Democrat has ever won. Flippo secured the GOP nomination with President Trump’s endorsement after defeating the candidate backed by Gov. Joe Lombardo and Amodei, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in trader assessments. Teresa Benitez-Thompson’s Democratic nomination and endorsements from Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto have raised the profile of the general election contest, with some recent polling showing a narrow margin and forecasters rating the race Likely Republican rather than Solid. The 74.5% implied probability for Flippo reflects these structural advantages and primary dynamics, tempered by Democratic efforts to capitalize on the open seat in a midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$30,883Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District, following longtime Republican Rep. Mark Amodei’s retirement, favors David Flippo due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt, where registered Republicans outnumber Democrats by roughly 70,000 and no Democrat has ever won. Flippo secured the GOP nomination with President Trump’s endorsement after defeating the candidate backed by Gov. Joe Lombardo and Amodei, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in trader assessments. Teresa Benitez-Thompson’s Democratic nomination and endorsements from Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto have raised the profile of the general election contest, with some recent polling showing a narrow margin and forecasters rating the race Likely Republican rather than Solid. The 74.5% implied probability for Flippo reflects these structural advantages and primary dynamics, tempered by Democratic efforts to capitalize on the open seat in a midterm environment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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