Analilia Mejia holds a commanding lead in the NJ-11 House race as the Democratic incumbent following her decisive April 2026 special election win over Republican Joe Hathaway by roughly 20 points in a district that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. Mejia consolidated support after a competitive primary and outperformed prior Democratic benchmarks in the special, while Hathaway, a local councilman, has faced the structural challenges of running in a seat with a partisan lean favoring Democrats. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Mejia reflects her incumbency status, established name recognition, and the limited time remaining before the November general election. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp turnout shifts, or national political realignments remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin in the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNJ-11 House Election Winner
NJ-11 House Election Winner
$39,635 Wol.
$39,635 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Analilia Mejia (D)
96%
Joe Hathaway (R)
6%
$39,635 Wol.
$39,635 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Analilia Mejia (D)
$23,615 Wol.
96%
Joe Hathaway (R)
$16,021 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Analilia Mejia holds a commanding lead in the NJ-11 House race as the Democratic incumbent following her decisive April 2026 special election win over Republican Joe Hathaway by roughly 20 points in a district that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. Mejia consolidated support after a competitive primary and outperformed prior Democratic benchmarks in the special, while Hathaway, a local councilman, has faced the structural challenges of running in a seat with a partisan lean favoring Democrats. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Mejia reflects her incumbency status, established name recognition, and the limited time remaining before the November general election. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp turnout shifts, or national political realignments remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$39,635Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Analilia Mejia holds a commanding lead in the NJ-11 House race as the Democratic incumbent following her decisive April 2026 special election win over Republican Joe Hathaway by roughly 20 points in a district that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. Mejia consolidated support after a competitive primary and outperformed prior Democratic benchmarks in the special, while Hathaway, a local councilman, has faced the structural challenges of running in a seat with a partisan lean favoring Democrats. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Mejia reflects her incumbency status, established name recognition, and the limited time remaining before the November general election. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp turnout shifts, or national political realignments remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$39,635Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Analilia Mejia holds a commanding lead in the NJ-11 House race as the Democratic incumbent following her decisive April 2026 special election win over Republican Joe Hathaway by roughly 20 points in a district that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. Mejia consolidated support after a competitive primary and outperformed prior Democratic benchmarks in the special, while Hathaway, a local councilman, has faced the structural challenges of running in a seat with a partisan lean favoring Democrats. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Mejia reflects her incumbency status, established name recognition, and the limited time remaining before the November general election. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp turnout shifts, or national political realignments remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin in the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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