Adam Hamawy secured the Democratic nomination for New Jersey’s 12th congressional district in the June 2026 primary, prevailing in a crowded field with support from progressive endorsements and substantial super PAC spending. The open seat, previously held by retiring Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman, sits in a district with a strong Democratic lean, where Kamala Harris carried it by double digits in 2024 and recent election models project Democratic margins exceeding 25 points. Gregg Mele, the Republican nominee and an attorney who faced no primary opposition, trails significantly in fundraising and lacks comparable organizational backing. These structural and campaign fundamentals underpin trader consensus favoring Hamawy, though a major late-cycle scandal, unexpected national political shift, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap before the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNJ-12 House Election Winner
NJ-12 House Election Winner
$24,473 Wol.
$24,473 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Adam Hamawy (D)
95%
Gregg Mele (R)
5%
$24,473 Wol.
$24,473 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Adam Hamawy (D)
$15,864 Wol.
95%
Gregg Mele (R)
$8,609 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adam Hamawy secured the Democratic nomination for New Jersey’s 12th congressional district in the June 2026 primary, prevailing in a crowded field with support from progressive endorsements and substantial super PAC spending. The open seat, previously held by retiring Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman, sits in a district with a strong Democratic lean, where Kamala Harris carried it by double digits in 2024 and recent election models project Democratic margins exceeding 25 points. Gregg Mele, the Republican nominee and an attorney who faced no primary opposition, trails significantly in fundraising and lacks comparable organizational backing. These structural and campaign fundamentals underpin trader consensus favoring Hamawy, though a major late-cycle scandal, unexpected national political shift, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$24,473Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adam Hamawy secured the Democratic nomination for New Jersey’s 12th congressional district in the June 2026 primary, prevailing in a crowded field with support from progressive endorsements and substantial super PAC spending. The open seat, previously held by retiring Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman, sits in a district with a strong Democratic lean, where Kamala Harris carried it by double digits in 2024 and recent election models project Democratic margins exceeding 25 points. Gregg Mele, the Republican nominee and an attorney who faced no primary opposition, trails significantly in fundraising and lacks comparable organizational backing. These structural and campaign fundamentals underpin trader consensus favoring Hamawy, though a major late-cycle scandal, unexpected national political shift, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$24,473Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Adam Hamawy secured the Democratic nomination for New Jersey’s 12th congressional district in the June 2026 primary, prevailing in a crowded field with support from progressive endorsements and substantial super PAC spending. The open seat, previously held by retiring Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman, sits in a district with a strong Democratic lean, where Kamala Harris carried it by double digits in 2024 and recent election models project Democratic margins exceeding 25 points. Gregg Mele, the Republican nominee and an attorney who faced no primary opposition, trails significantly in fundraising and lacks comparable organizational backing. These structural and campaign fundamentals underpin trader consensus favoring Hamawy, though a major late-cycle scandal, unexpected national political shift, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap before the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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