Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads trader assessments for Quebec’s next premier, reflecting the Parti Québécois’ sustained polling edge among francophone voters and favorable first-past-the-post seat projections ahead of the October 5 election. His consistent positioning on sovereignty, including a pledge to pursue a referendum even in a minority government, has anchored support despite economic uncertainty from U.S. tariffs. Incumbent Christine Fréchette of the Coalition Avenir Québec trails after assuming the premiership in April 2026, as the party contends with legacy unpopularity and voter focus on affordability and health care. Charles Milliard of the Quebec Liberal Party and other leaders register minimal implied probabilities, underscoring limited paths to a majority or plurality in the National Assembly.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext Premier of Quebec
Next Premier of Quebec
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 72%
Christine Fréchette 24.0%
Charles Milliard 2.7%
Bernard Drainville <1%
$319,542 Wol.
$319,542 Wol.
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
72%
Christine Fréchette
24%
Charles Milliard
3%
Bernard Drainville
<1%
Éric Duhaime
<1%
Sol Zanetti
<1%
Ruba Ghazal
<1%
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 72%
Christine Fréchette 24.0%
Charles Milliard 2.7%
Bernard Drainville <1%
$319,542 Wol.
$319,542 Wol.
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
72%
Christine Fréchette
24%
Charles Milliard
3%
Bernard Drainville
<1%
Éric Duhaime
<1%
Sol Zanetti
<1%
Ruba Ghazal
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads trader assessments for Quebec’s next premier, reflecting the Parti Québécois’ sustained polling edge among francophone voters and favorable first-past-the-post seat projections ahead of the October 5 election. His consistent positioning on sovereignty, including a pledge to pursue a referendum even in a minority government, has anchored support despite economic uncertainty from U.S. tariffs. Incumbent Christine Fréchette of the Coalition Avenir Québec trails after assuming the premiership in April 2026, as the party contends with legacy unpopularity and voter focus on affordability and health care. Charles Milliard of the Quebec Liberal Party and other leaders register minimal implied probabilities, underscoring limited paths to a majority or plurality in the National Assembly.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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