The Massachusetts 2nd congressional district's D+13 partisan lean and consistent Democratic performance underpin trader consensus around a 94.5 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Jim McGovern secured the party nomination in the September 1 primary with no significant opposition and enters the November 3 general election with prior margins above 68 percent. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting the absence of credible Republican challengers in a state where Democrats have held every House seat since 1994. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unexpected surge by an untested GOP candidate could theoretically alter the outcome before Election Day, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMA-02 House Election Winner
MA-02 House Election Winner
$63,336 Wol.
$63,336 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jim McGovern (D)
95%
Republican Party
5%
$63,336 Wol.
$63,336 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jim McGovern (D)
$35,228 Wol.
95%
Republican Party
$28,108 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 2nd congressional district's D+13 partisan lean and consistent Democratic performance underpin trader consensus around a 94.5 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Jim McGovern secured the party nomination in the September 1 primary with no significant opposition and enters the November 3 general election with prior margins above 68 percent. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting the absence of credible Republican challengers in a state where Democrats have held every House seat since 1994. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unexpected surge by an untested GOP candidate could theoretically alter the outcome before Election Day, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$63,336Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 2nd congressional district's D+13 partisan lean and consistent Democratic performance underpin trader consensus around a 94.5 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Jim McGovern secured the party nomination in the September 1 primary with no significant opposition and enters the November 3 general election with prior margins above 68 percent. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting the absence of credible Republican challengers in a state where Democrats have held every House seat since 1994. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unexpected surge by an untested GOP candidate could theoretically alter the outcome before Election Day, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$63,336Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 2nd congressional district's D+13 partisan lean and consistent Democratic performance underpin trader consensus around a 94.5 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Jim McGovern secured the party nomination in the September 1 primary with no significant opposition and enters the November 3 general election with prior margins above 68 percent. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting the absence of credible Republican challengers in a state where Democrats have held every House seat since 1994. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unexpected surge by an untested GOP candidate could theoretically alter the outcome before Election Day, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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