Forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the Korean Peninsula, with clear to mostly clear skies and light easterly to southeasterly winds of 3–7 m/s favoring modest radiative cooling overnight into September 22. This setup supports an expected minimum near 19°C at Incheon International Airport, aligning with the market's leading 41.5% implied probability, while nearby ensemble runs show 18–20°C as plausible depending on boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint depression. Historical September lows average around 18°C, but the current pattern lacks the stronger northerly flow or cloud cover that would drive cooler outcomes. Updated short-range guidance and any late-day wind shifts remain the key variables that could nudge the realized minimum across the closely contested 18–20°C thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 22?
19°C 42%
16°C 31%
18°C 30%
20°C 20%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
14°C or below
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
31%
17°C
16%
18°C
30%
19°C
42%
20°C
20%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
4%
24°C or higher
2%
19°C 42%
16°C 31%
18°C 30%
20°C 20%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Wol.
2%
15°C
$0 Wol.
3%
16°C
$0 Wol.
31%
17°C
$0 Wol.
16%
18°C
$1,587 Wol.
30%
19°C
$2,072 Wol.
42%
20°C
$2,067 Wol.
20%
21°C
$361 Wol.
3%
22°C
$0 Wol.
3%
23°C
$0 Wol.
4%
24°C or higher
$232 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the Korean Peninsula, with clear to mostly clear skies and light easterly to southeasterly winds of 3–7 m/s favoring modest radiative cooling overnight into September 22. This setup supports an expected minimum near 19°C at Incheon International Airport, aligning with the market's leading 41.5% implied probability, while nearby ensemble runs show 18–20°C as plausible depending on boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint depression. Historical September lows average around 18°C, but the current pattern lacks the stronger northerly flow or cloud cover that would drive cooler outcomes. Updated short-range guidance and any late-day wind shifts remain the key variables that could nudge the realized minimum across the closely contested 18–20°C thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,318Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the Korean Peninsula, with clear to mostly clear skies and light easterly to southeasterly winds of 3–7 m/s favoring modest radiative cooling overnight into September 22. This setup supports an expected minimum near 19°C at Incheon International Airport, aligning with the market's leading 41.5% implied probability, while nearby ensemble runs show 18–20°C as plausible depending on boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint depression. Historical September lows average around 18°C, but the current pattern lacks the stronger northerly flow or cloud cover that would drive cooler outcomes. Updated short-range guidance and any late-day wind shifts remain the key variables that could nudge the realized minimum across the closely contested 18–20°C thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,318Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the Korean Peninsula, with clear to mostly clear skies and light easterly to southeasterly winds of 3–7 m/s favoring modest radiative cooling overnight into September 22. This setup supports an expected minimum near 19°C at Incheon International Airport, aligning with the market's leading 41.5% implied probability, while nearby ensemble runs show 18–20°C as plausible depending on boundary-layer mixing and dewpoint depression. Historical September lows average around 18°C, but the current pattern lacks the stronger northerly flow or cloud cover that would drive cooler outcomes. Updated short-range guidance and any late-day wind shifts remain the key variables that could nudge the realized minimum across the closely contested 18–20°C thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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